NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	4.0 [980]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): +15.2%
Sacramento Kings	122		Comeback	1.1 [1136]		LVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): -10.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	-0.00	0.08	23	65%	0.08	4	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	12	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Saddiq Bey	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Clint Capela	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Trent Forrest	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.08	5	90%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.01	-0.01	18	27%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.21	0.01	0.07	20	67%	0.15	0	0.00	8	100%	0.01
Sasha Vezenkov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Keegan Murray	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	6	76%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	16	34%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	54%	0.01	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	25.1	15.4	26.7	2.4	35.6	132.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +48.3%

ATL -4.3%

SAC +2.3%

SAC +4.3%

ATL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	13.8	14.5	102.9	118.4	113.9
season	14.2	14.0		115.7	115.6
opponent	14.8	14.3		113.6	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.9	14.5	14.2	12.7	14.0
SAC	12.8	13.2	14.6	14.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	51	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-17	19	13.8	14.3	-0.48	13.0	14.4	-1.40
Patty Mills	33	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-13	11	14.5	13.8	0.73	13.0	14.2	-1.18
Saddiq Bey	65	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-15	15	13.4	15.1	-1.69	15.0	11.8	3.11
Trent Forrest	17	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-4	-7	14.8	13.9	0.86	12.8	14.0	-1.14
Clint Capela	49	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-7	-1	14.2	13.9	0.26	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Dejounte Murray	87	86	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-11	7	13.9	14.8	-0.86	14.1	12.4	1.71
Onyeka Okongwu	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-8	1	14.6	13.3	1.34	13.9	13.6	0.35
Bogdan Bogdanovic	74	72	-0.49	-0.00	-0.49	0.12	-21	6	-27	14.0	14.2	-0.26	14.1	12.9	1.20
Jalen Johnson	84	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.15	-24	9	-33	14.1	13.9	0.12	13.3	15.9	-2.70

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	81	83	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	4	7	14.0	13.0	0.93	13.9	14.7	-0.83
De'Aaron Fox	75	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	8	-1	13.9	13.4	0.53	13.9	14.5	-0.67
Malik Monk	54	54	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.10	14	1	13	13.3	14.3	-0.93	14.1	14.0	0.02
Harrison Barnes	63	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	6	3	14.8	12.2	2.54	13.6	14.8	-1.22
Davion Mitchell	47	46	0.29	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	3	9	13.7	13.9	-0.18	14.9	13.4	1.47
Keegan Murray	69	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	7	1	14.4	12.5	1.95	13.3	15.7	-2.42
Trey Lyles	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	8	-1	12.1	14.7	-2.60	14.8	13.7	1.18
Sasha Vezenkov	14	14	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	9	-3	12.5	14.0	-1.48	14.4	14.0	0.44
Kevin Huerter	54	56	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	18	-21	13.6	14.0	-0.39	14.5	13.5	1.06
JaVale McGee	22	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	11	-7	13.0	14.0	-0.93	14.7	13.9	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 78, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
TOR 106, DET 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
SEA 89, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%