NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	3.0 [1196]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +10.3%
Detroit Pistons	113		Comeback	1.0 [1230]		LVP	Mike James (TOR): -4.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.16	0.00	0.12	26	61%	0.05	1	-0.01	9	56%	-0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.00	0.07	11	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rafael Araujo	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike James	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	8	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	64%	0.10	0	0.00	10	80%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.05	17	65%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	7	81%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	15	62%	0.12	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	15	53%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	2	25%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	25.4	16.6	30.2	2.5	27.4	129.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.3%

DET +8.5%

DET +8.7%

TOR -4.7%

DET +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	18.0	15.6	121.8	131.4	104.4
season	15.6	16.9		107.3	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		101.4	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.4	16.2	14.8	14.1	15.3
DET	18.8	18.0	18.6	16.6	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.41	13	-20	33	12.8	16.9	-4.12	18.8	17.5	1.29
Rafael Araujo	19	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-1	-5	17.6	14.7	2.93	17.5	18.1	-0.56
Joey Graham	27	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-7	7	15.3	15.3	-0.02	17.9	18.0	-0.12
Morris Peterson	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.47	6	-13	19	14.4	20.8	-6.47	18.1	16.9	1.22
Jose Calderon	65	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-8	9	14.7	17.2	-2.46	17.6	18.9	-1.27
Jalen Rose	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	5	-17	15.4	15.2	0.18	18.1	17.8	0.29
Mike James	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	6	-19	17.4	12.6	4.74	17.8	18.2	-0.49
Matt Bonner	36	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	5	-17	15.0	15.6	-0.59	17.6	18.2	-0.58
Chris Bosh	78	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	5	-17	16.1	8.6	7.57	18.1	16.9	1.20

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	62	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-11	29	18.5	16.5	1.97	16.2	13.3	2.92
Maurice Evans	40	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	1	5	18.0	17.9	0.16	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Antonio McDyess	56	58	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	-4	15	18.2	17.5	0.71	15.5	15.0	0.52
Carlos Delfino	18	20	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	2	3	16.5	18.4	-1.85	14.1	15.7	-1.55
Chauncey Billups	63	62	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.12	13	-6	19	18.4	16.8	1.61	16.1	13.4	2.67
Carlos Arroyo	23	25	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.41	-6	13	-19	16.8	18.4	-1.61	13.4	16.1	-2.67
Tayshaun Prince	60	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	1	5	18.5	16.7	1.88	15.5	15.0	0.47
Ben Wallace	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	6	-5	17.9	18.0	-0.11	15.7	14.9	0.79
Richard Hamilton	54	55	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.20	-3	10	-13	17.8	18.3	-0.55	15.9	14.5	1.39
Darko Milicic	4	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	15	-23	12.2	18.2	-5.99	7.2	15.8	-8.64
Jason Maxiell	4	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	15	-23	12.2	18.2	-5.99	7.2	15.8	-8.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NYK 81, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
UTA 69, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%