NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	89		Excitement	3.3 [1085]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +13.4%
San Antonio Spurs	107		Comeback	1.0 [1195]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -10.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.04	15	68%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	75%	0.02	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	20	51%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Ruben Wolkowyski	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	10	58%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	12	36%	-0.09	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.01	17	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	80%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	53%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	54%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	15	52%	-0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	30.1	16.4	22.4	2.4	27.0	124.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +41.2%

SAS +5.8%

SEA -1.2%

SAS +3.1%

SAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAS	NBA	SEA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.5	96.7	115.1	100.9
season	15.2	15.9		103.8	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.7		96.5	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.0	18.5	13.4	13.6	15.2
SAS	17.5	14.3	16.0	15.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	43	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-19	20	13.0	17.2	-4.12	16.3	15.5	0.81
Olumide Oyedeji	15	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-13	8	15.2	15.2	-0.05	16.7	15.7	0.92
Desmond Mason	17	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-14	10	14.2	15.5	-1.30	15.3	16.1	-0.79
Ruben Wolkowyski	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-12	6	14.9	15.3	-0.37	13.7	16.2	-2.56
Ruben Patterson	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-6	-6	15.5	14.7	0.80	15.9	15.9	0.01
Emanual Davis	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-10	2	15.8	14.5	1.26	16.1	15.7	0.38
Vin Baker	61	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-8	-2	16.1	13.6	2.50	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Gary Payton	79	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-6	-6	15.3	14.6	0.73	16.2	13.8	2.47
Brent Barry	39	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.19	-19	1	-20	15.7	14.9	0.79	15.5	16.2	-0.65
Rashard Lewis	84	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	-3	-12	15.2	16.0	-0.83	15.8	16.7	-0.94

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	52	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.04	20	-2	22	15.9	15.9	-0.06	15.9	14.4	1.49
Tim Duncan	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.15	21	-3	24	16.0	15.6	0.39	15.9	13.6	2.33
Antonio Daniels	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	8	2	15.2	16.7	-1.50	15.5	14.9	0.65
Derek Anderson	71	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	3	12	16.1	15.1	1.05	14.9	16.1	-1.19
Avery Johnson	47	46	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	8	2	15.8	16.0	-0.26	14.7	15.8	-1.17
Terry Porter	38	39	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	9	0	16.4	15.5	0.89	16.8	14.1	2.66
David Robinson	24	23	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	11	-4	17.4	15.4	2.00	15.5	15.1	0.38
Malik Rose	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.11	9	9	0	15.2	16.3	-1.05	15.0	15.4	-0.35
Steve Kerr	28	27	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	14	-10	16.1	15.8	0.36	12.9	16.2	-3.27
Sean Elliott	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	18	-18	15.1	16.1	-0.98	17.1	14.9	2.18
Shawnelle Scott	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	14.7	16.0	-1.31	11.7	15.5	-3.82
Samaki Walker	33	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.22	-13	31	-44	15.8	15.9	-0.16	13.8	16.1	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 106, DET 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
MIL 74, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
PHI 78, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%