NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	74		Excitement	3.2 [934]		MVP	Ryan Hollins (BOS): +8.7%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	1.0 [1032]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (MIL): -10.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	13	57%	0.04	5	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.00	0.08	11	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	-0.09	7	39%	0.01	5	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jon Brockman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Sanders	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Jennings	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	14	39%	-0.01	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	6	14%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	7	86%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	9	33%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	14	47%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
JaJuan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.14	-0.00	-0.13	10	40%	0.05	6	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.0	26.3	15.8	22.2	2.4	21.2	113.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.5%

BOS +0.5%

MIL -5.0%

BOS +17.0%

MIL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.7	15.3	15.6	75.5	87.0	102.8
season	14.6	15.5		103.8	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.6		97.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.5	14.8	13.1	13.6	13.7
BOS	15.9	14.0	14.6	17.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Brockman	31	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-16	19	13.9	13.7	0.28	16.3	14.9	1.40
Beno Udrih	63	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-13	13	13.3	14.5	-1.20	14.9	16.1	-1.28
Ekpe Udoh	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-6	-1	14.3	13.3	0.97	16.3	14.5	1.72
Shaun Livingston	64	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-13	13	13.7	13.9	-0.21	15.4	15.2	0.24
Larry Sanders	50	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	13.7	13.8	-0.13	14.9	15.8	-0.95
Tobias Harris	73	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-6	-1	13.2	15.3	-2.06	15.6	14.6	0.98
Mike Dunleavy	50	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	2	-17	14.5	13.0	1.46	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Jon Leuer	62	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-3	-7	13.2	14.6	-1.41	15.0	15.9	-0.98
Brandon Jennings	51	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.13	-22	9	-31	14.5	12.9	1.64	15.2	15.5	-0.33

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	55	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	1	11	14.2	16.7	-2.55	13.5	14.0	-0.46
Avery Bradley	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	3	7	15.4	15.2	0.19	13.3	14.3	-1.02
Marquis Daniels	35	33	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	8	-3	14.6	15.7	-1.12	13.4	13.9	-0.57
Rajon Rondo	52	50	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	7	-1	16.4	14.2	2.16	13.9	13.6	0.36
Kevin Garnett	25	24	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	3	7	14.4	15.6	-1.19	13.3	13.9	-0.60
Sasha Pavlovic	38	39	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	12.9	16.8	-3.89	12.9	14.3	-1.45
Sean Williams	39	37	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	16.1	14.9	1.22	14.0	13.6	0.45
Ryan Hollins	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	7	-1	14.9	15.8	-0.93	13.8	13.7	0.15
Paul Pierce	14	13	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	5	3	14.6	15.5	-0.88	14.7	13.6	1.09
Brandon Bass	47	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	12	-11	16.4	14.4	1.99	14.2	13.3	0.93
JaJuan Johnson	36	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	12	-11	14.9	15.6	-0.73	12.8	14.3	-1.47
Keyon Dooling	20	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	12	-11	16.6	15.0	1.59	16.2	13.1	3.15
Mickael Pietrus	38	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	18	-23	17.7	13.9	3.84	14.2	13.4	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIA 86, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
LAL 80, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%