NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	78		Excitement	3.6 [1046]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +36.7%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	1.1 [870]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -18.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.00	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	13	38%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	3	60%	-0.01	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.01	22	39%	-0.16	2	-0.02	15	53%	-0.07

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.39	0.01	0.04	29	82%	0.39	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	16	59%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	73%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	60%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	11	18%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	3.5	37.4	20.4	26.5	3.5	31.3	147.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +51.9%

TOR +0.1%

TOR +0.2%

PHI -1.4%

PHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.1	15.5	85.7	113.3	100.9
season	15.7	15.8		101.4	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	16.0	14.9	16.8	15.8
TOR	13.8	14.0	18.5	18.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	26	25	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.09	-2	-22	20	15.0	16.1	-1.13	18.8	15.0	3.86
Todd MacCulloch	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	17.2	15.6	1.61	14.0	16.3	-2.28
Rodney Buford	8	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.16	-6	-18	12	16.5	15.7	0.80	16.9	16.0	0.87
Tyrone Hill	54	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.06	-4	-20	16	15.4	16.3	-0.84	16.1	16.0	0.05
Jumaine Jones	28	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.25	-16	-8	-8	16.1	15.6	0.44	14.3	16.7	-2.40
Eric Snow	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	-9	-6	16.8	14.2	2.65	15.9	16.4	-0.48
Aaron McKie	62	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-14	4	14.7	18.1	-3.43	15.9	16.4	-0.50
George Lynch	49	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.26	-23	-1	-22	16.7	14.7	2.00	15.9	16.3	-0.44
Dikembe Mutombo	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.15	-21	-3	-18	15.5	17.4	-1.88	16.1	15.8	0.33
Allen Iverson	85	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	-4	-16	15.7	16.3	-0.60	16.2	14.0	2.20

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	85	85	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.21	24	0	24	15.9	19.0	-3.12	15.8	15.3	0.47
Antonio Davis	85	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.21	24	0	24	15.9	19.0	-3.12	15.8	15.3	0.47
Dell Curry	38	38	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	13	-2	14.4	17.3	-2.87	14.3	16.8	-2.54
Alvin Williams	72	74	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.25	20	4	16	16.1	15.8	0.28	16.0	14.6	1.45
Chris Childs	72	72	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.16	16	8	8	16.8	12.9	3.89	16.1	14.4	1.77
Keon Clark	19	18	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	17	-10	13.5	16.7	-3.21	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Jerome Williams	27	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.29	16	8	8	17.2	15.6	1.67	17.4	15.0	2.35
Charles Oakley	44	45	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	23	-22	16.4	15.7	0.74	15.1	16.5	-1.39
Morris Peterson	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	22.0	15.9	6.15	17.5	15.7	1.81
Eric Montross	5	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	24	-24	19.0	15.9	3.12	15.3	15.8	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
GSW 89, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
TOR 106, PHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%