NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	89		Excitement	3.0 [1133]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +6.9%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	1.1 [1218]		LVP	Brian Shaw (GSW): -10.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	15	61%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Carl Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	11	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	14	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	15	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Joe Smith	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	8	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02
Brian Shaw	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	10	20%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	10	71%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.04	15	67%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	14	39%	-0.00	1	-0.00	10	70%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	7	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Christian Laettner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	14	59%	0.00	5	-0.07	11	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	26.1	16.8	28.3	2.3	28.3	128.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +13.2%

ATL +18.5%

ATL +15.6%

ATL +3.2%

GSW -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	98.9	113.3	102.5
season	15.6	16.1		92.9	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.0		101.5	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.0	17.3	19.9	12.0	16.2
ATL	18.1	14.8	15.3	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dickey Simpkins	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	9.9	17.2	-7.28	13.7	16.1	-2.34
Duane Ferrell	35	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-18	23	13.9	17.7	-3.78	14.3	16.7	-2.44
Todd Fuller	23	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.22	3	-16	19	11.5	17.8	-6.31	14.5	16.2	-1.64
Adonal Foyle	39	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-14	15	18.1	14.8	3.23	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Tony Delk	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-11	9	13.2	18.5	-5.28	14.3	16.9	-2.55
Bimbo Coles	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-5	-3	18.8	13.2	5.60	16.6	14.8	1.88
Erick Dampier	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-1	-11	18.3	13.9	4.43	16.5	15.0	1.49
Donyell Marshall	58	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-2	-9	17.2	14.4	2.87	17.2	13.2	4.00
Carl Thomas	43	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-10	7	12.8	19.3	-6.48	15.0	16.4	-1.41
Felton Spencer	28	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-3	-7	15.6	16.5	-0.94	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Brian Shaw	49	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	0	-13	19.0	12.9	6.14	16.7	14.6	2.08
Joe Smith	28	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	7	-27	18.1	15.4	2.74	16.2	15.6	0.59

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	51	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-4	21	15.9	15.6	0.33	18.7	13.2	5.47
Chucky Brown	39	39	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	1	11	13.5	17.5	-4.09	15.1	17.1	-1.98
Steven Smith	61	62	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.08	14	-1	15	16.4	14.5	1.86	18.0	12.2	5.77
Dikembe Mutombo	40	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	0	13	17.3	14.6	2.69	18.2	14.6	3.62
Alan Henderson	47	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	10	-7	15.2	16.4	-1.14	13.2	19.6	-6.37
Tyrone Corbin	41	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	2	9	17.3	14.5	2.74	18.5	14.2	4.27
Greg Anderson	50	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	13	-13	14.6	17.3	-2.69	14.6	18.2	-3.62
Eldridge Recasner	55	54	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.13	11	2	9	16.1	15.3	0.76	17.9	13.7	4.26
Randy Livingston	28	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	12	-11	16.6	15.4	1.15	14.4	17.0	-2.65
Chris Crawford	21	21	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	19	-25	14.9	16.0	-1.14	11.9	17.5	-5.63
Anthony Miller	17	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	24	-35	15.2	15.9	-0.67	11.0	17.5	-6.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, SAC 133	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NYK 101, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
TOR 92, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%