NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	92		Excitement	3.0 [1139]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +10.9%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	1.2 [922]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -14.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Long	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	52%	0.02	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Cureton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donald Whiteside	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	12	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02
Walt Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	54%	-0.01	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	15	39%	-0.07	4	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Sharone Wright	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	13	31%	-0.09	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.19	-0.01	-0.05	16	25%	-0.09	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	12	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	4	117%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	6	70%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	62%	-0.00	2	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Jerome Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	64%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	-0.06	11	23%	-0.08	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	29.3	15.8	23.3	1.7	27.4	122.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.5%

IND +3.6%

TOR -5.0%

IND +4.7%

IND +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	13.7	15.6	95.8	115.6	104.4
season	16.1	15.3		102.2	103.6
opponent	16.3	15.0		101.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.5	18.5	17.2	13.6	16.3
IND	13.0	13.4	16.3	12.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Earl	12	12	0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-24	29	13.2	16.7	-3.50	15.4	13.4	1.98
Earl Cureton	1	2	0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-20	21	24.0	16.2	7.77	16.5	13.6	2.87
Donald Whiteside	20	19	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-23	27	14.6	16.8	-2.16	16.4	13.0	3.34
John Long	38	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-16	13	14.9	17.2	-2.26	13.1	14.1	-1.05
Sharone Wright	42	40	-0.16	-0.33	0.17	-0.04	-4	-15	11	17.5	15.4	2.15	14.5	13.1	1.39
Zan Tabak	29	30	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-13	7	15.9	16.5	-0.65	15.2	13.0	2.20
Popeye Jones	48	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.03	-11	-8	-3	16.7	15.9	0.83	13.2	14.1	-0.86
Carlos Rogers	57	58	-0.32	-0.17	-0.15	0.12	-15	-4	-11	15.8	17.1	-1.24	13.5	14.0	-0.52
Doug Christie	77	77	-0.41	-0.08	-0.33	0.15	-19	0	-19	16.3	16.2	0.13	13.2	15.6	-2.36
Damon Stoudamire	76	77	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	4	-27	16.8	14.6	2.16	13.0	16.4	-3.34
Walt Williams	80	81	-0.46	-0.03	-0.43	0.24	-24	5	-29	16.9	13.2	3.75	13.5	14.5	-0.92

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	52	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	2	15	13.3	14.1	-0.79	17.3	15.1	2.21
Duane Ferrell	49	50	0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.07	14	5	9	13.1	14.3	-1.28	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Derrick McKey	49	49	0.33	0.16	0.17	-0.14	16	3	13	13.6	13.8	-0.20	17.6	14.9	2.70
Jerome Allen	41	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	12	-5	15.1	12.7	2.42	16.8	15.9	0.86
Dale Davis	47	45	0.25	0.24	0.01	-0.19	15	4	11	14.1	13.3	0.78	17.5	15.2	2.30
Travis Best	55	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.11	12	7	5	12.7	15.1	-2.42	15.9	16.8	-0.86
Erick Dampier	49	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	16	-13	14.5	12.9	1.64	16.1	16.5	-0.35
Antonio Davis	38	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	7	5	12.7	14.3	-1.66	16.2	16.4	-0.22
Eddie Johnson	44	44	0.15	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	17	-15	13.6	13.8	-0.22	14.8	17.6	-2.80
Jalen Rose	34	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	14	-9	14.8	13.1	1.67	15.8	16.6	-0.76
Fred Hoiberg	22	22	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.24	-8	27	-35	13.8	13.6	0.17	13.0	17.3	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, POR 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CLE 88, TOR 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIN 77, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%