NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	93		Excitement	3.1 [1189]		MVP	Allen Crabbe (POR): +9.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	1.1 [1288]		LVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): -8.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Quincy Acy	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	14	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	17	62%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	38%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	0.00	-0.07	7	17%	-0.04	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.19	0.01	0.10	10	91%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	64%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	7	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.01	-0.07	9	55%	0.08	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	9	65%	0.05	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cliff Alexander	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Montero	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.3	26.5	15.4	25.5	2.5	26.2	121.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.5%

POR +6.5%

POR +2.0%

SAC -0.6%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	14.9	93.9	106.1	105.1
season	13.9	15.0		104.8	107.1
opponent	14.6	14.6		106.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.3	13.4	14.4	13.9	14.0
POR	14.5	14.8	14.4	16.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-10	8	14.0	14.0	-0.00	18.8	14.8	3.98
Ben McLemore	52	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-17	22	14.2	13.7	0.49	16.1	14.0	2.12
James Anderson	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-16	20	13.3	14.6	-1.38	14.3	15.8	-1.47
Quincy Acy	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-8	4	14.5	13.3	1.19	15.7	14.3	1.39
Kosta Koufos	67	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	6	-24	14.1	13.7	0.46	14.5	16.3	-1.82
Seth Curry	66	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-7	2	14.0	14.0	0.05	15.8	13.6	2.20
Willie Cauley-Stein	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-12	12	13.4	15.3	-1.87	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Omri Casspi	63	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.14	-18	6	-24	14.2	13.7	0.44	15.3	14.8	0.49
Darren Collison	70	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.25	-22	10	-32	14.2	13.6	0.54	14.0	17.5	-3.48

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	45	48	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.33	27	-15	42	15.9	14.4	1.46	15.4	12.7	2.67
Al-Farouq Aminu	51	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	-8	28	13.9	16.3	-2.37	13.9	14.1	-0.16
Mason Plumlee	43	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	-4	20	14.2	15.8	-1.64	14.0	14.0	0.08
Damian Lillard	63	63	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.26	19	-7	26	13.9	17.2	-3.26	13.5	14.9	-1.40
Noah Vonleh	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	13	-14	16.0	14.3	1.73	14.4	13.6	0.81
Maurice Harkless	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.21	15	-3	18	14.2	15.9	-1.63	14.0	14.0	0.04
Ed Davis	46	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	1	10	15.8	14.5	1.29	14.5	13.5	0.97
Allen Crabbe	43	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	7	-2	15.9	14.5	1.36	14.6	13.6	1.03
Gerald Henderson	41	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	7	-2	16.0	14.4	1.63	14.6	13.6	0.96
Brian Roberts	38	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.47	-12	24	-36	15.3	15.0	0.28	12.7	14.8	-2.03
Cliff Alexander	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	27	-42	15.9	15.0	0.90	11.1	14.3	-3.18
Pat Connaughton	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	27	-42	15.9	15.0	0.90	11.1	14.3	-3.18
Luis Montero	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	27	-42	15.9	15.0	0.90	11.1	14.3	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
DEN 114, LAL 132	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
SAS 87, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%