inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 114 Excitement3.3 [1082] MVPEric Washington (DEN): +10.9%
Los Angeles Lakers 132 Comeback1.1 [1249] LVPLaPhonso Ellis (DEN): -13.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Washington0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.12-0.010.001081%0.141-0.031100%0.00
Joe Wolf0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Harold Ellis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.000.04485%0.0400.001275%-0.00
Danny Fortson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.080.000.06976%0.041-0.02786%0.00
Anthony Goldwire0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01850%0.0100.002100%0.01
Kiwane Garris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Battie-0.030,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.071841%0.013-0.04367%0.00
Priest Lauderdale-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02617%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Dean Garrett-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.03731%-0.023-0.07250%-0.01
Bobby Jackson-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.010.011250%-0.054-0.06683%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.16-0.01-0.041332%-0.102-0.04862%-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.000.032067%0.111-0.021155%-0.02
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.01-0.00675%0.0510.004100%0.02
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.04775%0.0400.002100%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00875%0.093-0.06475%-0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.031366%0.062-0.043100%0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.04858%0.022-0.00887%0.02
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07744%0.0030.002100%0.01
Mario Bennett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02467%0.0000.00450%0.00
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.05550%0.025-0.072100%0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01217%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.429.215.826.90.229.4131.1
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +24.2%
LAL +13.7%
LAL +3.5%
LAL +7.8%
LAL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game14.213.515.6109.6126.9102.5
season16.214.896.7110.0
opponent15.615.2102.6109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.713.818.011.914.2
LAL13.012.914.014.213.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kiwane Garris770.00-0.500.500.000-181813.414.3-0.838.913.8-4.97
Joe Wolf44-0.01-0.490.49-0.031-192014.514.20.317.513.7-6.23
Eric Washington6667-0.17-0.330.15-0.170-181813.515.4-1.8414.112.31.81
Danny Fortson5757-0.23-0.270.04-0.230-181812.516.3-3.8214.012.91.17
Priest Lauderdale2322-0.24-0.260.020.05-10-8-214.914.00.9113.313.5-0.28
Tony Battie5354-0.24-0.260.010.17-14-4-1015.213.22.0113.413.6-0.17
Dean Garrett6262-0.25-0.25-0.010.13-13-5-814.713.41.3414.012.81.18
Harold Ellis4847-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-13813.614.7-1.1512.414.4-1.98
LaPhonso Ellis6162-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-15-3-1214.713.51.1813.912.90.98
Anthony Goldwire5958-0.35-0.15-0.200.24-202-2215.412.72.6713.014.2-1.19
Bobby Jackson8080-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-14-4-1013.915.2-1.2513.712.71.07

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal67680.430.070.36-0.2423-52813.413.6-0.1215.012.72.22
Derek Fisher78790.410.090.31-0.031531213.214.4-1.2414.014.8-0.84
Rick Fox63630.400.100.30-0.2522-42613.713.10.6515.013.01.98
Robert Horry41420.350.150.20-0.2420-22212.414.2-1.7415.113.61.54
Eddie Jones58580.350.150.20-0.2119-12013.613.30.2915.212.92.35
Kobe Bryant48480.260.240.010.05711-413.713.30.4414.414.00.44
Corie Blount35340.110.39-0.280.17-220-2213.913.30.6813.014.8-1.74
Elden Campbell42420.110.39-0.290.05216-1414.013.10.8914.314.10.14
Jon Barry46460.090.41-0.320.26-624-3013.313.6-0.2613.115.1-2.04
Mario Bennett19180.000.50-0.500.09-321-2413.313.5-0.2811.314.8-3.54
Sean Rooks23220.000.50-0.500.21-725-3213.813.40.4311.714.9-3.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 83, IND 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
MIN 88, HOU 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
SAS 87, LAL 1030.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%