NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	3.0 [1183]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +9.7%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	1.2 [1239]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -10.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	13	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Rodney Carney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	46%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.08	11	68%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Randy Foye	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	11	37%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.03	5	100%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	16	59%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	59%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	77%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	125%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	16	41%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.2	15.8	25.2	1.8	25.2	120.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +25.7%

HOU +8.9%

HOU +5.8%

HOU +5.4%

HOU +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.5	98.9	117.6	106.4
season	15.8	16.3		104.3	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		102.7	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.3	17.0	16.1	14.2	16.3
HOU	15.3	15.1	16.6	15.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	13.8	16.8	-2.99	13.7	16.0	-2.32
Bobby Brown	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	13.8	16.8	-2.99	13.7	16.0	-2.32
Kevin Ollie	7	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-20	21	18.4	16.1	2.28	15.4	15.7	-0.34
Brian Cardinal	39	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-15	11	14.8	17.5	-2.63	16.5	15.1	1.45
Craig Smith	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-13	7	15.8	16.7	-0.89	15.7	15.7	0.05
Rodney Carney	50	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-12	5	15.3	17.6	-2.30	15.3	16.1	-0.72
Mike Miller	56	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-13	7	16.3	16.4	-0.16	15.8	15.4	0.45
Jason Collins	27	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.16	-17	-2	-15	18.5	15.4	3.15	15.8	15.6	0.15
Sebastian Telfair	44	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-5	-9	17.3	15.4	1.92	17.0	14.5	2.51
Ryan Gomes	45	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-7	-5	17.6	15.1	2.49	15.6	15.8	-0.18
Kevin Love	53	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-8	-3	16.3	16.3	0.03	15.0	16.8	-1.73
Randy Foye	60	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	-2	-15	16.7	15.5	1.25	15.8	15.4	0.44

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	50	47	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	0	19	15.2	16.3	-1.11	17.8	14.7	3.05
Metta World Peace	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	6	7	16.1	14.6	1.55	16.9	14.8	2.07
Yao Ming	54	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	5	9	16.1	15.0	1.15	17.7	14.4	3.24
Shane Battier	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	2	15	16.0	15.2	0.83	17.6	14.3	3.27
Aaron Brooks	46	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	5	9	15.9	15.5	0.38	17.6	15.1	2.49
Kyle Lowry	54	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	15	-11	15.9	15.4	0.51	15.2	18.1	-2.85
Charles Hayes	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.14	10	9	1	15.7	15.7	0.01	15.9	16.6	-0.73
Von Wafer	42	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	14	-9	15.3	16.0	-0.73	14.7	17.7	-2.95
Brent Barry	37	36	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	12	-5	15.7	15.7	-0.01	14.8	17.4	-2.55
Brian Cook	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	12.9	16.0	-3.10	10.6	17.0	-6.42
James White	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	12.9	16.0	-3.10	10.6	17.0	-6.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 115, NJN 130	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
DEN 114, LAL 132	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
IND 72, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%