NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	116		Excitement	6.1 [576]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (BOS): +15.3%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	1.0 [1205]		LVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): -12.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.03	0.03	21	70%	0.23	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Payton Pritchard	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.05	19	55%	0.11	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.03	-0.04	17	39%	0.03	2	-0.04	12	75%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	14	43%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Oshae Brissett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	12	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.03	22	51%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	10	58%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Green	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	18	41%	-0.01	3	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.05	0.04	8	75%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nate Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	7	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	0.05	18	60%	0.04	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	28.3	14.5	25.2	1.8	33.5	130.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +38.5%

HOU -2.0%

BOS +5.6%

BOS +5.8%

BOS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	12.6	14.5	110.5	100.9	113.9
season	14.9	14.2		120.7	113.2
opponent	14.6	14.7		112.2	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.8	15.6	16.0	14.7	14.7
HOU	13.4	12.1	12.8	12.0	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	80	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-4	17	14.0	17.0	-2.97	12.5	12.9	-0.40
Kristaps Porzingis	72	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-9	27	14.2	15.8	-1.63	13.2	11.2	1.99
Luke Kornet	44	44	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	11	-13	17.2	13.0	4.21	12.8	12.4	0.45
Payton Pritchard	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.16	5	4	1	15.8	13.0	2.80	12.5	12.6	-0.11
Jaylen Brown	70	69	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	5	-1	14.2	15.8	-1.60	12.2	13.2	-0.98
Sam Hauser	69	71	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	1	7	14.1	15.9	-1.76	12.4	12.9	-0.55
Oshae Brissett	41	41	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	5	-1	14.5	14.9	-0.32	12.1	12.9	-0.74
Jayson Tatum	79	80	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.23	-4	13	-17	14.5	15.5	-1.07	12.5	12.8	-0.31
Neemias Queta	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	10	-11	18.7	14.5	4.17	15.2	12.4	2.75

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	22	22	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.12	6	-15	21	13.8	12.2	1.57	18.0	13.9	4.13
Nate Williams	38	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-12	15	13.0	12.4	0.62	16.9	13.5	3.37
Aaron Holiday	54	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.32	5	-14	19	12.8	12.3	0.45	16.5	12.7	3.79
Jae'Sean Tate	28	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-7	5	13.1	12.4	0.72	18.2	13.4	4.81
Jalen Green	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-1	-7	12.2	13.5	-1.37	13.6	17.5	-3.99
Amen Thompson	74	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-1	-7	12.2	13.4	-1.19	13.8	17.0	-3.22
Cam Whitmore	66	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	6	-21	12.4	12.8	-0.44	13.7	16.3	-2.62
Alperen Sengun	82	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.12	-12	3	-15	12.4	13.2	-0.82	13.8	18.0	-4.18
Dillon Brooks	92	89	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.14	-14	5	-19	12.7	11.6	1.16	14.1	18.1	-4.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.26,0.21,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.13,0.1,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 116, IND 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.01,0.02,0	94.5%
TOR 137, WAS 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.7%
SEA 106, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.4%