NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	116		Excitement	6.4 [560]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +25.6%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	1.2 [523]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (IND): -12.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.26	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.22	0.07	0.04	23	66%	0.26	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.01	13	64%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
LaMelo Ball	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	13	68%	0.17	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	13	42%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05
Nick Richards	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	86%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cody Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	8%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	11	56%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kelan Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	79%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	23	49%	0.01	3	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	11	61%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Keifer Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	9	47%	-0.01	6	-0.12	14	57%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	33.2	14.7	28.4	2.7	33.4	141.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +43.1%

IND -5.1%

CHA +2.2%

CHA +6.6%

CHA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	13.7	13.6	14.5	109.4	102.9	110.8
season	14.0	14.4		112.9	111.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		115.0	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.1	12.4	13.6	16.9	13.7
IND	14.6	12.9	13.6	13.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	85	83	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-5	18	13.7	13.5	0.18	13.6	13.9	-0.30
LaMelo Ball	77	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-5	18	13.2	14.9	-1.74	13.2	14.6	-1.36
Jalen McDaniels	66	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-4	16	14.3	12.6	1.76	13.6	13.6	-0.03
Mason Plumlee	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	0	8	14.5	12.3	2.19	13.7	13.5	0.16
Gordon Hayward	77	77	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	0	8	13.7	13.5	0.21	13.5	13.9	-0.41
Cody Martin	54	53	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	13	-18	13.6	13.7	-0.08	13.1	14.1	-1.00
Nick Richards	32	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	5	-2	11.3	14.7	-3.42	13.6	13.7	-0.10
Kelly Oubre Jr.	49	50	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	14	-20	13.7	13.6	0.08	14.7	12.7	1.97
Ish Smith	22	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	14	-20	14.0	13.6	0.47	14.3	13.4	0.92

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oshae Brissett	46	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-14	20	14.4	13.1	1.32	13.8	13.6	0.25
Keifer Sykes	22	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-10	12	14.4	13.4	0.93	14.8	13.4	1.36
Chris Duarte	52	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-1	-6	14.0	13.2	0.77	12.5	14.7	-2.14
Torrey Craig	49	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-6	4	15.0	12.4	2.65	14.2	13.2	1.00
Domantas Sabonis	83	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	13.4	14.6	-1.22	13.5	14.1	-0.59
Kelan Martin	41	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-6	4	13.3	13.9	-0.59	15.2	12.6	2.59
Justin Holiday	75	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	2	-12	13.0	15.1	-2.06	13.4	14.3	-0.83
Caris LeVert	86	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	1	-10	13.4	14.7	-1.29	13.5	14.5	-0.95
Myles Turner	71	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	5	-18	13.1	14.8	-1.72	13.4	14.4	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.29,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.5%
IND 102, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.07,0.09,0.01,0	94.0%
ORL 103, NOP 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.08,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.06,0,0	93.8%