NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	6.3 [562]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +11.3%
Golden State Warriors	94		Comeback	1.1 [670]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (GSW): -10.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	8	83%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	20	55%	0.10	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.00	17	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	46%	0.00	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Danny Granger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	13	65%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	20	55%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	19	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	62%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	58%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	29.6	19.4	30.5	3.5	34.6	145.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.7%

GSW -7.9%

IND +21.5%

IND +3.1%

IND +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	16.4	13.3	15.1	105.2	96.9	105.2
season	15.8	14.2		102.7	105.9
opponent	15.3	15.2		102.0	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	16.2	16.1	17.4	16.4
GSW	14.7	12.6	13.2	12.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	70	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-1	10	17.0	14.9	2.07	13.3	13.1	0.20
Paul George	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.16	9	-1	10	16.0	17.7	-1.76	13.1	13.8	-0.66
Lance Stephenson	88	87	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.34	2	6	-4	16.5	15.6	0.96	13.2	13.7	-0.48
George Hill	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	4	0	16.5	16.3	0.21	13.2	13.4	-0.22
Luis Scola	35	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	2	4	18.1	15.5	2.60	13.0	13.4	-0.37
Danny Granger	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	3	2	16.2	16.5	-0.30	13.5	13.1	0.41
David West	61	63	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	6	-4	15.7	17.6	-1.93	13.4	13.0	0.37
CJ Watson	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	4	0	16.3	16.5	-0.21	13.4	13.2	0.22
Ian Mahinmi	26	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	9	-10	15.5	16.8	-1.26	13.4	13.2	0.20

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-9	10	12.9	13.4	-0.47	16.8	16.3	0.55
Andrew Bogut	62	62	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-12	16	13.0	13.7	-0.65	17.0	15.5	1.51
Jordan Crawford	27	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-7	6	12.9	13.4	-0.47	16.3	16.5	-0.16
Andre Iguodala	61	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-7	6	13.1	13.5	-0.41	16.4	16.4	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	40	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	2	-12	14.0	12.8	1.25	16.5	16.3	0.18
Stephen Curry	83	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-4	0	13.5	12.0	1.48	16.6	15.4	1.16
Klay Thompson	80	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	0	-8	12.9	14.9	-2.03	16.1	18.2	-2.19
David Lee	71	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	1	-10	13.6	12.5	1.10	16.5	16.2	0.25
Draymond Green	36	35	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	4	-16	13.3	13.2	0.10	15.5	17.0	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.07,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 118, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.01,0.04,0	94.4%
POR 102, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.1%
MIL 118, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.2,0.03,0,0,0	93.9%