NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	5.0 [804]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +12.2%
Phoenix Suns	90		Comeback	1.2 [797]		LVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): -19.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	17	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.01	29	58%	0.14	4	-0.07	11	91%	0.04
Rick Fox	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Devean George	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	21	63%	0.15	5	-0.11	10	70%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	17	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.08
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	12	24%	-0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.05	0.03	15	37%	-0.13	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	33.1	15.7	29.0	2.4	34.3	142.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.4%

LAL +3.9%

LAL +2.0%

LAL +4.4%

LAL +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.3	14.9	15.5	111.2	100.0	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		105.0	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		100.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	19.5	16.6	16.7	17.3
PHX	14.1	14.8	17.7	13.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	76	78	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-7	23	16.5	21.8	-5.35	14.5	17.8	-3.37
Derek Fisher	72	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.11	13	-4	17	16.6	20.4	-3.80	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Kobe Bryant	87	87	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	5	-1	17.3	16.5	0.80	14.7	19.7	-4.92
Rick Fox	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	0	9	17.2	17.4	-0.18	15.7	13.9	1.78
Robert Horry	54	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	6	-3	17.0	17.8	-0.81	14.7	15.3	-0.57
Devean George	41	40	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.22	-1	10	-11	17.5	17.1	0.34	14.0	15.6	-1.64
Mark Madsen	5	4	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	7	-5	17.8	17.2	0.55	20.0	14.7	5.33
Brian Shaw	19	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	8	-7	19.9	16.6	3.39	15.2	14.8	0.37
Samaki Walker	38	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	8	-7	18.7	16.2	2.49	16.1	14.1	1.98
Slava Medvedenko	3	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	12	-15	22.7	17.1	5.57	13.3	15.0	-1.63

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	33	33	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.28	12	-21	33	15.4	14.6	0.71	18.8	16.4	2.40
Jake Voskuhl	23	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-11	13	14.3	15.1	-0.87	18.7	16.9	1.81
Randy Brown	8	8	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-8	7	17.4	14.7	2.70	21.5	16.9	4.64
Casey Jacobsen	20	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	15.0	14.9	0.18	17.4	17.2	0.21
Shawn Marion	79	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-3	-3	14.7	16.5	-1.76	17.0	19.4	-2.41
Joe Johnson	82	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-5	1	14.7	17.0	-2.29	17.4	16.1	1.30
Scott Williams	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	4	-17	14.9	14.9	0.05	16.6	18.6	-2.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	63	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.07	-17	8	-25	15.2	14.3	0.83	16.8	18.5	-1.73
Stephon Marbury	85	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	4	-17	14.8	16.0	-1.15	16.9	23.2	-6.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.29,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, NOP 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.08,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.06,0,0	94.5%
ATL 93, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.03,0,0,0	94.4%
NYK 85, MIL 71	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.2%