NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	106		Excitement	6.0 [578]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +16.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.1 [599]		LVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): -14.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	14	75%	0.20	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
Detlef Schrempf	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	16	75%	0.22	7	-0.15	4	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Craig Ehlo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	20	50%	0.06	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	18	83%	0.04
Larry Stewart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Heal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	9	83%	0.22	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	14	71%	0.12	4	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.07	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	46%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	10%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	16	39%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	13	29%	-0.11	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.4	2.4	30.6	132.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +37.3%

SEA +12.7%

MIN -8.5%

SEA +9.7%

MIN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.6	110.4	102.1	104.4
season	14.9	15.5		108.9	103.3
opponent	15.5	16.2		105.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.4	15.9	13.9	14.2	14.6
MIN	14.4	16.1	16.1	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	76	77	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-7	22	14.3	15.8	-1.59	15.2	16.2	-0.94
Hersey Hawkins	69	70	0.43	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	14.8	14.1	0.67	14.7	17.4	-2.71
Gary Payton	89	89	0.37	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	4	0	14.6	14.0	0.64	15.3	16.9	-1.57
Craig Ehlo	36	36	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	2	4	13.9	15.0	-1.17	15.8	15.2	0.64
Sam Perkins	55	54	0.30	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	2	4	14.5	14.7	-0.24	15.7	15.0	0.64
Detlef Schrempf	79	77	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	1	6	14.8	13.8	0.94	15.6	14.5	1.16
Eric Snow	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	7	-6	16.9	14.4	2.53	13.8	15.6	-1.80
Larry Stewart	34	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	9	-10	14.7	14.5	0.13	17.2	14.4	2.82
David Wingate	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.07	-3	11	-14	13.4	14.7	-1.26	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Jim McIlvaine	28	28	-0.02	0.51	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	14.9	14.5	0.47	14.8	15.6	-0.83

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug West	54	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	15.3	15.6	-0.29	14.4	14.8	-0.44
Terry Porter	13	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-5	2	15.0	15.5	-0.47	16.8	14.3	2.51
Stojko Vrankovic	40	40	-0.08	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-9	10	15.2	15.5	-0.31	13.9	15.1	-1.23
Cherokee Parks	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-7	6	17.3	14.5	2.78	14.5	14.6	-0.16
Shane Heal	27	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-8	8	14.1	15.9	-1.75	13.8	14.9	-1.14
Kevin Garnett	85	86	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-7	6	14.8	20.0	-5.19	14.7	13.8	0.89
Stephon Marbury	70	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-4	0	15.4	15.3	0.14	14.5	14.7	-0.21
James Robinson	29	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	16.5	14.9	1.54	14.7	14.6	0.14
Tom Gugliotta	61	60	-0.45	-0.04	-0.41	-0.01	-15	7	-22	15.1	15.9	-0.84	15.0	13.9	1.04
Sam Mitchell	70	70	-0.46	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	0	-8	15.8	14.2	1.61	14.7	14.2	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 93, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.2%
UTA 110, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
DEN 99, MIA 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.0%