NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	110		Excitement	5.4 [715]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +21.7%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	1.1 [313]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -16.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.09	0.07	10	84%	0.28	3	-0.06	18	94%	0.07
Paul Millsap	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	5	80%	0.11	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.02	0.05	5	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Ronnie Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Carlos Boozer	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	16	46%	0.01	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	90%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	12	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.05
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	55%	0.04	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	7	38%	-0.05	5	-0.12	7	86%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	35.0	15.5	27.2	1.8	33.2	142.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +25.6%

UTA +4.7%

UTA +11.7%

UTA +4.2%

UTA +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	18.4	15.1	15.4	127.9	107.0	105.7
season	15.5	15.6		111.2	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.0		98.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	17.5	21.5	18.7	18.4
BOS	15.5	14.6	14.5	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	76	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-2	22	18.4	18.3	0.15	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Carlos Boozer	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	0	18	18.3	18.8	-0.46	14.6	16.6	-1.96
Matt Harpring	44	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	1	16	17.9	19.0	-1.07	15.4	14.7	0.63
Kyle Korver	44	44	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	2	14	18.1	18.8	-0.69	15.1	15.0	0.07
Mehmet Okur	76	75	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.03	14	4	10	18.6	16.9	1.73	14.8	17.1	-2.33
Paul Millsap	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	16	-14	18.7	18.3	0.45	17.1	14.1	2.99
Ronnie Brewer	42	42	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	16	-14	18.8	18.1	0.69	15.0	15.1	-0.07
Andrei Kirilenko	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	17	-16	19.0	17.9	1.07	15.0	15.1	-0.07
Jarron Collins	2	2	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	16	-14	10.0	18.6	-8.63	12.5	15.1	-2.62
Ronnie Price	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	20	-22	18.3	18.4	-0.15	14.6	15.1	-0.52

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	41	37	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-20	22	14.0	16.0	-2.02	20.2	17.1	3.09
Kendrick Perkins	54	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.17	-8	-10	2	14.4	16.2	-1.90	18.6	18.1	0.52
Ray Allen	22	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-8	-2	15.5	14.9	0.59	16.5	19.1	-2.66
Rajon Rondo	57	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.18	-13	-5	-8	14.4	16.4	-2.05	18.8	17.7	1.12
Glen Davis	25	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-13	8	17.0	14.2	2.79	18.0	18.6	-0.61
Eddie House	34	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-9	0	15.3	14.9	0.34	18.0	18.7	-0.65
Kevin Garnett	65	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-9	0	15.0	15.3	-0.30	18.4	18.4	0.00
Leon Powe	23	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.02	-10	-8	-2	16.2	14.7	1.52	18.1	18.6	-0.48
Paul Pierce	62	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-10	2	15.4	14.2	1.18	18.4	18.4	0.07
James Posey	47	47	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.05	-20	2	-22	15.3	14.7	0.62	18.0	19.0	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.3%
PHI 98, CHA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	94.3%
MIA 98, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.7%