NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	5.9 [493]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +22.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	89		Comeback	1.1 [492]		LVP	Byron Mullens (CHA): -16.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.07	0.00	9	74%	0.22	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Louis Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.07	0.04	14	62%	0.18	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	15	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	6	21%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	16	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.05	0.06	15	54%	0.09	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.02
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.01	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cory Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.11	0.02	13	42%	-0.11	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	31.0	15.4	25.5	2.4	30.5	134.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.0%

CHA -3.2%

PHI +6.8%

PHI +20.4%

PHI +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	16.0	15.6	107.7	96.7	102.8
season	15.6	16.3		101.0	94.1
opponent	15.0	16.1		108.9	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.1	15.4	14.8	16.6	15.4
CHA	16.2	17.3	13.5	17.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	52	50	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	0	9	14.1	17.2	-3.04	16.3	15.7	0.59
Jodie Meeks	61	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-4	17	15.3	15.7	-0.44	15.6	17.0	-1.32
Louis Williams	52	51	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	3	3	14.2	17.0	-2.78	17.0	14.9	2.13
Thaddeus Young	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	6	-3	15.2	16.0	-0.74	16.4	15.1	1.33
Andre Iguodala	66	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	4	1	16.4	12.8	3.58	15.9	16.3	-0.37
Evan Turner	28	30	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.13	4	5	-1	13.8	16.2	-2.39	16.5	15.8	0.64
Jrue Holiday	68	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	8	-7	15.8	14.3	1.58	15.5	17.5	-1.93
Lavoy Allen	30	32	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	4	1	16.8	14.8	1.98	16.0	16.0	-0.00
Elton Brand	34	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	10	-11	17.4	14.3	3.15	15.1	16.6	-1.57

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	45	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-9	9	15.7	16.4	-0.72	17.3	13.7	3.55
Derrick Brown	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-9	9	17.3	15.3	2.05	14.8	15.8	-1.07
Cory Higgins	10	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-1	-7	17.8	15.8	1.98	11.2	16.1	-4.83
Matt Carroll	20	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	16.9	15.8	1.17	13.2	16.0	-2.82
Tyrus Thomas	18	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	16.8	15.8	1.00	12.1	16.3	-4.22
Boris Diaw	74	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-6	3	15.8	16.8	-1.00	16.3	12.1	4.22
Reggie Williams	75	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-8	7	15.7	17.5	-1.84	15.8	13.8	2.06
Corey Maggette	61	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	15.8	16.5	-0.68	15.7	15.0	0.71
Kemba Walker	76	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-5	1	15.5	18.6	-3.06	16.4	11.2	5.24
Byron Mullens	47	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	0	-9	16.4	15.7	0.72	13.7	17.3	-3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 110, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
LAL 106, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.9%
DAL 91, MIL 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.17,0,0	93.4%