NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	6.3 [552]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MIL): +6.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	83		Comeback	1.3 [843]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (MIL): -14.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gal Mekel	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	2	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	15	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
DeJuan Blair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Jae Crowder	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	14	51%	0.06	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	11	50%	0.02	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.14,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	20	67%	0.29	6	-0.23	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	19	46%	-0.04	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	6	27%	-0.08	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	29.3	15.4	25.2	1.8	30.2	127.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +14.4%

DAL +9.0%

DAL +17.3%

DAL +2.2%

DAL +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.1	96.8	87.4	105.2
season	15.3	15.7		109.0	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.7	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.4	13.7	20.0	15.9	15.6
MIL	14.3	16.8	13.6	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	64	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	1	6	15.9	14.9	1.02	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Monta Ellis	77	78	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-1	10	16.0	13.6	2.45	14.9	14.9	-0.07
Jae Crowder	32	34	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	2	4	14.6	16.1	-1.52	15.4	14.6	0.87
Samuel Dalembert	52	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	1	6	15.9	15.2	0.65	14.3	15.6	-1.32
Shawn Marion	66	65	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	6	-4	16.1	14.3	1.81	14.7	15.2	-0.46
DeJuan Blair	42	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	7	-6	15.2	15.9	-0.65	15.6	14.3	1.32
Gal Mekel	26	26	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	3	2	15.2	15.7	-0.50	15.3	14.7	0.64
Vince Carter	40	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	2	4	13.7	17.0	-3.30	15.8	14.1	1.70
Jose Calderon	71	69	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	11	-14	16.0	14.4	1.54	14.4	16.1	-1.70

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	37	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-14	20	14.1	15.4	-1.32	16.0	15.4	0.60
Ekpe Udoh	22	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-3	-2	15.1	14.8	0.33	16.0	15.5	0.59
Brandon Knight	29	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	15.2	14.7	0.51	14.8	15.9	-1.10
Caron Butler	74	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-7	6	14.8	15.1	-0.33	16.1	14.0	2.05
O.J. Mayo	71	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	14.5	16.1	-1.60	15.9	14.5	1.44
Zaza Pachulia	77	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-7	6	15.0	14.4	0.61	15.5	16.2	-0.71
John Henson	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	3	-14	14.8	15.0	-0.17	15.8	15.3	0.56
Nate Wolters	72	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	1	-10	14.8	15.2	-0.44	15.6	15.7	-0.07
Gary Neal	41	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	2	-12	16.1	13.9	2.18	14.1	16.7	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.17,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, CHA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	93.4%
PHI 108, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.24,0.05,0	93.4%
MIN 95, CHH 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.08,0	93.3%