inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 137 Excitement5.7 [607] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +16.8%
Washington Wizards 115 Comeback1.1 [953] LVPDeni Avdija (WAS): -4.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.150.040.021475%0.191-0.0200%0.00
Chris Boucher0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.080.06-0.011063%0.171-0.02786%0.03
Pascal Siakam0.140,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.120.030.011860%0.161-0.02771%-0.01
Norman Powell0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.150.010.071868%0.132-0.035100%0.01
DeAndre' Bembry0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.010.025100%0.0710.0000%0.00
Terence Davis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.010.041065%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Aron Baynes0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00657%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Matt Thomas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Paul Watson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fred VanVleet-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.02-0.011064%0.084-0.092100%0.01
Stanley Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.09-0.010.01772%0.0600.00475%-0.00
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01950%0.0500.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.01-0.022051%0.062-0.027100%0.03
Rui Hachimura0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.021450%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.04-0.002055%0.155-0.132100%0.01
Alex Len0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.040.01692%0.102-0.0900%0.00
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Brown Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Anthony Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jerome Robinson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Raul Neto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.01-0.03737%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Deni Avdija0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.00756%0.022-0.06250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.31.626.214.426.62.430.3127.9
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +27.9%
TOR +7.1%
WAS -1.0%
TOR +12.8%
TOR +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORWASNBATORWASNBA
this game13.413.414.4125.7108.5111.3
season14.213.3111.0109.9
opponent14.114.6112.4111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR12.613.313.913.813.4
WAS13.112.413.814.413.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pascal Siakam79770.58-0.080.67-0.2127-53213.213.9-0.7113.114.3-1.20
Fred VanVleet79770.58-0.080.67-0.2127-53213.213.9-0.7113.114.3-1.20
Kyle Lowry76730.330.170.16-0.08148612.914.4-1.4913.812.41.43
Chris Boucher54540.320.180.13-0.151661013.613.20.3713.613.20.38
Norman Powell73710.270.230.04-0.061111013.513.10.4513.413.5-0.16
Terence Davis41410.240.26-0.02-0.111210213.013.6-0.6614.013.10.89
Aron Baynes50470.180.32-0.130.10319-1613.313.4-0.0812.913.8-0.88
DeAndre' Bembry53510.080.42-0.340.11-123-2414.612.22.3312.614.1-1.46
Matt Thomas550.000.50-0.50-0.09319-1611.813.5-1.6616.013.32.72
Paul Watson550.000.50-0.50-0.09319-1611.813.5-1.6616.013.32.72
Stanley Johnson3029-0.080.58-0.670.06-527-3213.913.20.7114.313.11.20

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrison Mathews550.00-0.500.500.09-3-191616.013.32.7211.813.5-1.66
Troy Brown Jr.550.00-0.500.500.09-3-191616.013.32.7211.813.5-1.66
Anthony Gill550.00-0.500.500.09-3-191616.013.32.7211.813.5-1.66
Jerome Robinson550.00-0.500.500.09-3-191616.013.32.7211.813.5-1.66
Ish Smith1110-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-212014.513.31.1712.113.5-1.42
Alex Len4750-0.05-0.450.39-0.112-242612.714.0-1.3013.912.90.99
Raul Neto5961-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-171213.313.5-0.2313.213.6-0.43
Rui Hachimura7275-0.24-0.260.020.08-11-11013.413.30.1213.613.00.60
Robin Lopez4141-0.25-0.25-0.010.01-9-13413.613.30.3713.013.6-0.62
Deni Avdija5861-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-11012.914.0-1.1614.012.61.36
Davis Bertans6364-0.44-0.06-0.380.18-21-1-2013.912.71.1512.914.1-1.20
Bradley Beal8485-0.510.01-0.520.07-20-2-1813.114.7-1.6713.513.10.39
Russell Westbrook7578-0.570.07-0.650.07-220-2213.313.6-0.2513.612.80.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 92, NJN 820.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,094.9%
OKC 111, PHI 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
CHH 102, NJN 920.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,094.7%