NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	102		Excitement	4.9 [817]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +12.8%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.1 [577]		LVP	Robert Pack (NJN): -18.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.02	0.05	19	75%	0.19	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Dell Curry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	20	64%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Addison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
George Zidek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	54%	-0.01	2	-0.03	15	80%	0.02
Muggsy Bogues	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.02	-0.06	9	36%	-0.01	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	14	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lloyd Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	18	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.02	21	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.05
Tony Massenburg	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.02	0.01	17	45%	-0.05	6	-0.14	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.5	25.3	15.0	27.0	1.6	32.6	128.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +51.8%

NJN -3.8%

NJN -5.3%

CHH +2.6%

CHH +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NJN	NBA	CHH	NJN	NBA
this game	13.0	15.5	15.6	102.0	90.2	104.4
season	15.7	15.4		108.0	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.0		106.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.1	12.5	14.0	12.3	13.0
NJN	16.2	15.7	14.8	15.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	91	93	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-6	22	12.7	15.7	-2.96	15.8	12.1	3.74
Glen Rice	87	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-1	12	13.0	12.5	0.58	15.2	17.6	-2.38
Vlade Divac	89	92	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	2	6	13.1	12.1	0.99	15.6	14.6	1.02
Dell Curry	68	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	4	2	12.6	13.8	-1.28	15.0	16.7	-1.74
Tony Smith	67	69	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	7	-4	13.8	11.4	2.40	16.1	14.3	1.80
Muggsy Bogues	44	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	0	10	13.9	12.3	1.60	15.1	15.8	-0.69
George Zidek	11	10	0.07	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	8	-6	12.1	13.1	-0.99	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Rafael Addison	16	17	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.07	-1	11	-12	12.9	13.0	-0.11	18.6	14.9	3.75
Tony Delk	21	21	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	9	-8	9.9	13.8	-3.88	16.3	15.3	0.96
Jamie Feick	6	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	16	-22	16.2	12.8	3.40	6.3	16.1	-9.76

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yinka Dare	13	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-10	10	17.8	15.2	2.58	13.9	12.8	1.10
Khalid Reeves	26	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-13	16	19.7	14.1	5.55	14.6	12.4	2.17
Lloyd Daniels	24	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-9	8	18.9	14.5	4.39	13.0	12.9	0.10
Jayson Williams	80	80	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-17	24	15.3	16.2	-0.84	13.7	10.2	3.46
Kendall Gill	97	94	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	15.3	20.6	-5.34	13.0	11.8	1.21
Tony Massenburg	65	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	3	-16	15.4	15.7	-0.29	13.7	11.8	1.90
Ed O'Bannon	46	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.04	-14	4	-18	15.3	15.7	-0.31	10.5	15.0	-4.55
Robert Pack	79	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	3	-16	14.5	19.1	-4.66	12.5	14.6	-2.07
Kerry Kittles	80	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	3	-16	14.5	19.1	-4.61	12.8	13.7	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0	95.4%
DET 87, BOS 72	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.3%
GSW 91, POR 80	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%