NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	4.6 [877]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +4.8%
New Jersey Nets	82		Comeback	1.0 [961]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -19.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.03
DeMarco Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirsad Turkcan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	10	45%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
Andrew Lang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	18	56%	0.04	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	18	50%	0.05	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	5	43%	0.00	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gheorghe Muresan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	17	32%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	18	42%	-0.05	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	0.00	20	36%	-0.15	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	25.5	15.4	24.5	2.3	36.8	132.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +47.5%

NJN -0.9%

NYK +14.3%

NJN -13.3%

NYK +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	15.2	100.0	87.2	101.7
season	16.1	15.5		100.0	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.8		103.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.6	18.9	16.9	13.5	16.6
NJN	14.5	15.4	13.8	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	82	84	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-4	18	16.5	17.2	-0.72	14.7	11.8	2.95
Kurt Thomas	73	77	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.03	16	-6	22	16.2	17.7	-1.49	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Latrell Sprewell	76	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-4	18	16.4	17.1	-0.69	14.6	13.5	1.13
Marcus Camby	58	57	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	4	2	16.0	17.5	-1.55	14.7	14.0	0.76
Charlie Ward	57	60	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	4	2	15.9	17.7	-1.78	13.8	15.6	-1.80
Chris Childs	16	16	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	0	10	16.3	16.6	-0.29	16.2	14.1	2.11
Andrew Lang	33	35	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	2	6	18.0	15.8	2.21	14.7	14.3	0.35
DeMarco Johnson	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	2.0	16.7	-14.71	14.0	14.4	-0.44
Mirsad Turkcan	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	2.0	16.7	-14.71	14.0	14.4	-0.44
John Wallace	22	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	16	-22	17.9	16.1	1.78	13.0	14.9	-1.88
Chris Dudley	18	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	16	-22	18.7	16.0	2.63	13.7	14.6	-0.89
Rick Brunson	23	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.18	-8	18	-26	17.8	16.1	1.64	14.5	14.4	0.08

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	33	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-15	20	13.8	14.8	-1.00	15.9	17.0	-1.11
Elliot Perry	18	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-11	12	15.4	14.2	1.18	19.6	15.9	3.79
Jim McIlvaine	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-4	-2	15.7	14.0	1.73	19.7	15.6	4.11
Gheorghe Muresan	12	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-4	-2	15.7	14.3	1.41	13.2	17.0	-3.83
Kendall Gill	51	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-9	8	14.5	14.3	0.25	16.8	16.3	0.45
Johnny Newman	29	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	1	-12	14.9	14.2	0.67	18.1	15.8	2.26
Keith Van Horn	76	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-7	4	13.8	17.1	-3.31	17.1	14.2	2.87
Kerry Kittles	65	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	14.3	14.8	-0.57	16.2	17.4	-1.21
Jamie Feick	77	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-5	0	14.5	14.2	0.25	15.6	20.6	-5.02
Stephon Marbury	86	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.13	-16	6	-22	14.4	14.9	-0.48	15.8	24.1	-8.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 102, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
UTA 98, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
OKC 99, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.18,0.1,0.03,0,0.03,0	95.0%