NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Excitement	5.2 [784]		MVP	Darrell Arthur (MEM): +10.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	1.1 [324]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -10.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	20	55%	0.12	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Kyle Weaver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	13	45%	0.07	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Robert Swift	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	17	49%	0.11	5	-0.13	17	88%	0.06
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	29%	-0.00	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.02	0.05	14	59%	0.05	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.04
Darius Miles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	22%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	15	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	17	47%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.0	27.4	15.8	26.4	2.8	43.0	144.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +12.7%

OKC +13.5%

OKC +8.1%

OKC +10.5%

OKC +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MEM	NBA	OKC	MEM	NBA
this game	16.1	13.6	15.5	102.1	94.8	106.4
season	14.9	16.1		100.5	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.3	15.5	17.0	15.7	16.1
MEM	17.1	12.2	14.3	11.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	82	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-8	23	16.0	16.8	-0.85	13.8	12.7	1.03
Thabo Sefolosha	86	85	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-4	15	15.7	19.4	-3.70	13.6	13.9	-0.35
Jeff Green	77	77	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-5	17	16.4	15.0	1.36	14.3	11.0	3.22
Kyle Weaver	80	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	7	-7	16.2	15.3	0.96	13.6	13.6	-0.05
Nick Collison	58	60	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	2	3	16.2	15.8	0.40	13.3	14.1	-0.72
Nenad Krstic	54	52	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	2	3	15.8	16.4	-0.60	13.8	13.4	0.35
Robert Swift	25	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	13	-19	17.2	15.7	1.56	13.2	13.8	-0.62
Earl Watson	23	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.15	-7	14	-21	15.6	16.2	-0.68	11.9	14.1	-2.28

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	2	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-6	5	8.5	13.7	-5.22	22.0	16.0	5.98
Darrell Arthur	30	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-4	1	15.6	12.7	2.84	16.8	15.7	1.06
Greg Buckner	47	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-13	19	11.8	15.3	-3.53	15.3	16.8	-1.48
Marko Jaric	23	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-6	5	14.3	13.4	0.86	17.8	15.6	2.23
Marc Gasol	56	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	13.5	13.7	-0.21	15.8	16.5	-0.66
Rudy Gay	68	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-11	15	13.2	14.5	-1.30	16.4	15.2	1.20
Mike Conley	69	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-3	-1	13.8	13.0	0.80	15.8	17.0	-1.20
Darko Milicic	41	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	0	-7	13.7	13.5	0.21	16.5	15.8	0.66
Quinton Ross	38	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	2	-11	13.6	13.6	-0.09	15.6	16.4	-0.83
Hakim Warrick	32	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	3	-13	14.6	13.1	1.52	16.1	16.1	0.06
O.J. Mayo	79	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	3	-13	13.6	13.5	0.13	15.9	16.9	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.18,0.1,0.03,0,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0	95.0%
NYK 104, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.8%
DET 93, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0	94.4%