NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	3.7 [1058]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +15.7%
Detroit Pistons	87		Comeback	1.1 [431]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -9.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.01	-0.03	19	67%	0.22	3	-0.06	7	57%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	65%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	20	52%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	6	93%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	10	73%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.01	9	81%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	13	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	87%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	21	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	27.4	17.3	26.4	2.6	28.3	131.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.6%

NYK +0.8%

NYK +8.2%

DET -0.3%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	16.6	15.3	116.9	100.0	106.0
season	14.7	16.8		105.9	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.4	17.0	14.7	20.1	16.1
DET	16.8	17.3	16.6	15.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	79	77	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.04	17	0	17	16.0	16.5	-0.46	16.7	16.2	0.50
Jared Jeffries	71	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-2	21	15.9	16.8	-0.93	16.7	16.4	0.35
Danilo Gallinari	62	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.10	20	-3	23	17.4	13.0	4.44	17.7	13.7	4.00
Wilson Chandler	67	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	0	17	16.7	14.4	2.29	17.2	14.5	2.71
Chris Duhon	61	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	2	13	16.6	15.0	1.59	17.3	15.0	2.36
Al Harrington	48	47	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	19	-21	15.2	17.2	-2.00	15.4	18.1	-2.79
Toney Douglas	28	25	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	15	-13	15.0	16.6	-1.59	15.0	17.3	-2.36
Larry Hughes	19	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	20	-23	12.7	17.0	-4.26	13.0	17.4	-4.40
Jonathan Bender	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	17	-17	16.5	16.0	0.46	16.2	16.7	-0.50

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	21	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-13	9	15.1	17.1	-1.98	20.1	14.9	5.17
Chucky Atkins	21	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-15	13	14.5	17.3	-2.86	14.5	16.6	-2.05
Austin Daye	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-13	9	14.3	17.2	-2.91	14.6	16.5	-1.92
Ben Gordon	64	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-15	13	15.3	20.4	-5.15	16.0	16.5	-0.54
Charlie Villanueva	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-8	-1	16.2	16.8	-0.62	17.3	15.7	1.63
Jonas Jerebko	54	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-11	5	16.5	16.9	-0.38	15.3	17.4	-2.02
Ben Wallace	38	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-11	5	18.9	14.9	4.00	16.7	15.7	1.00
Chris Wilcox	28	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-10	3	14.7	17.6	-2.85	12.9	17.9	-4.97
Tayshaun Prince	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-5	-7	18.5	14.9	3.54	16.8	15.4	1.36
Rodney Stuckey	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-4	-9	17.2	14.3	2.91	16.5	14.6	1.92
Richard Hamilton	58	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.05	-20	3	-23	17.9	14.1	3.81	16.6	15.2	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 78, POR 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
SAS 109, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
POR 95, SAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%