NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	4.3 [951]		MVP	Scott Padgett (UTA): +14.2%
Indiana Pacers	82		Comeback	1.2 [539]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -10.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	7	100%	0.15	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	8	37%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	69%	0.05	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
John Amaechi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	45%	-0.05	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	23	55%	-0.02	5	-0.08	16	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	63%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	15	47%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.03	0.06	12	64%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	3	40%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Bender	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	15	44%	-0.01	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	27.4	14.8	30.2	2.6	28.2	128.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +7.9%

UTA +6.4%

UTA +20.5%

UTA +11.7%

UTA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	13.7	15.6	102.1	86.3	102.3
season	16.1	15.3		102.9	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		100.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.6	16.9	16.2	19.3	16.4
IND	14.7	15.8	12.2	12.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	83	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-2	20	16.2	17.9	-1.77	13.6	14.6	-0.96
Bryon Russell	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	4	8	16.5	15.9	0.63	14.4	11.2	3.16
John Starks	43	41	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	4	8	18.1	15.0	3.16	12.6	14.6	-2.00
Andrei Kirilenko	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	5	6	15.1	18.1	-2.97	13.5	14.1	-0.65
John Stockton	61	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	6	4	16.0	17.0	-0.95	14.0	13.4	0.61
Scott Padgett	57	55	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	6	4	17.6	14.7	2.91	13.3	14.4	-1.13
Jarron Collins	39	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	10	-4	14.7	17.6	-2.91	14.4	13.3	1.13
Rusty LaRue	35	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	10	-4	17.0	16.0	0.95	13.4	14.0	-0.61
John Amaechi	13	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	18	-20	17.9	16.2	1.77	14.6	13.6	0.96
Quincy Lewis	19	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	19	-22	15.6	16.6	-1.02	14.4	13.6	0.78

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	52	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-19	22	13.2	14.4	-1.14	18.0	14.5	3.50
Austin Croshere	50	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-12	8	13.6	13.9	-0.35	17.3	15.4	1.87
Jeff Foster	53	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-7	-2	13.7	13.8	-0.15	17.3	15.2	2.10
Jonathan Bender	42	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.13	-14	-2	-12	14.3	13.3	1.05	16.0	16.7	-0.61
Reggie Miller	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-8	0	14.2	12.4	1.79	16.7	15.5	1.21
Jalen Rose	85	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-4	-8	13.0	20.5	-7.55	16.1	19.2	-3.12
Jamaal Tinsley	44	44	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	3	-22	14.1	13.5	0.60	14.1	18.3	-4.17
Jermaine O'Neal	77	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	1	-18	14.2	11.7	2.50	15.6	19.5	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
IND 117, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
GSW 94, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%