NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	3.1 [714]		MVP	Alonzo Mourning (MIA): +11.5%
Miami Heat	75		Comeback	1.1 [338]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -19.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.00	-0.01	11	68%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.05	13	73%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	16	59%	0.06	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Herb Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	6	65%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	12	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	2	125%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.01	16	67%	0.12	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.02
Rex Walters	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.07	7	69%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	7%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	12	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.21	-0.02	-0.04	19	26%	-0.11	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.0	29.1	19.5	31.3	2.7	31.4	139.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +48.4%

NYK +4.5%

NYK +5.6%

MIA -8.4%

MIA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	15.3	17.4	15.8	106.7	86.2	99.6
season	16.0	16.6		97.0	101.3
opponent	16.7	16.6		96.8	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	13.8	16.6	17.5	15.3
MIA	16.2	19.1	16.9	17.6	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	65	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.24	22	-2	24	15.3	15.4	-0.12	17.7	16.5	1.25
Latrell Sprewell	57	55	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.26	22	-2	24	15.1	15.7	-0.56	17.9	16.7	1.17
Patrick Ewing	59	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.40	26	-6	32	14.8	16.3	-1.42	17.8	16.6	1.26
Kurt Thomas	44	42	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	8	4	13.7	17.0	-3.30	17.7	17.1	0.60
Larry Johnson	59	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	12	-4	15.8	14.5	1.30	16.9	18.4	-1.49
Charlie Ward	46	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	11	-2	14.8	15.9	-1.17	16.5	18.4	-1.87
Chris Childs	44	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	9	2	15.6	15.1	0.48	18.4	16.5	1.87
Marcus Camby	41	40	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.11	9	11	-2	16.4	14.4	2.02	18.1	16.8	1.34
Chris Dudley	20	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.35	-11	31	-42	17.8	14.6	3.19	15.5	18.0	-2.50
Herb Williams	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	16.4	15.3	1.14	13.2	17.7	-4.48
Rick Brunson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	16.4	15.3	1.14	13.2	17.7	-4.48

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Voshon Lenard	22	24	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.08	-2	-18	16	18.8	17.0	1.86	17.7	14.4	3.26
Rex Walters	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-29	38	13.3	18.0	-4.75	17.1	15.1	2.03
Mark Strickland	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	13.2	17.7	-4.48	16.4	15.3	1.14
Duane Causwell	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-29	38	13.3	18.0	-4.75	18.6	14.9	3.78
Clar. Weatherspoon	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-12	4	18.3	16.9	1.46	16.1	14.8	1.28
Terry Porter	44	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.25	-19	-1	-18	17.9	17.0	0.89	15.5	15.2	0.28
Dan Majerle	52	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-8	-4	17.2	17.7	-0.44	14.7	16.2	-1.48
Alonzo Mourning	67	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	0	-20	17.6	16.8	0.81	15.2	15.8	-0.68
Jamal Mashburn	63	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-8	-4	17.4	17.6	-0.22	15.2	15.7	-0.58
P.J. Brown	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.18	-21	1	-22	17.6	17.1	0.52	14.2	17.5	-3.28
Tim Hardaway	68	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.35	-28	8	-36	17.8	16.2	1.55	14.8	17.1	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, SAS 78	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
CHI 99, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
HOU 108, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%