NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	3.5 [1055]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (HOU): +10.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	91		Comeback	1.0 [471]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -4.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	-0.00	-0.02	14	66%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.05	19	63%	0.14	5	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Walt Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	14	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dan Langhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Colson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	15	61%	0.03	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	20	47%	0.08	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	13	35%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	15	47%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	27.5	15.5	27.6	0.2	26.0	120.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +24.9%

HOU +11.9%

HOU +1.3%

HOU +8.9%

HOU +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIL	NBA	HOU	MIL	NBA
this game	17.6	13.6	15.5	117.4	97.8	100.9
season	16.3	14.9		104.6	105.9
opponent	15.8	14.9		102.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.3	16.4	18.4	20.6	17.6
MIL	13.5	16.4	11.6	13.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	77	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.18	25	-8	33	17.6	17.7	-0.11	13.6	13.7	-0.18
Steve Francis	87	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	-4	25	17.6	17.2	0.40	13.4	16.6	-3.19
Maurice Taylor	65	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	1	15	17.1	18.8	-1.70	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Walt Williams	51	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	0	17	17.1	18.2	-1.12	14.2	12.8	1.43
Hakeem Olajuwon	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	5	7	16.3	19.2	-2.92	12.9	14.4	-1.49
Moochie Norris	66	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	12	-7	18.4	15.5	2.95	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Kenny Thomas	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	10	-3	19.1	16.6	2.53	13.6	13.6	0.05
Sean Colson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	17.2	17.6	-0.40	16.6	13.4	3.19
Carlos Rogers	15	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.22	-8	25	-33	18.4	17.4	0.98	15.9	13.1	2.73
Dan Langhi	7	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	23	-29	18.0	17.5	0.46	14.1	13.5	0.60

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Pope	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	16.6	13.4	3.19	17.2	17.6	-0.40
Rafer Alston	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	16.6	13.4	3.19	17.2	17.6	-0.40
Joel Przybilla	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	16.6	13.4	3.19	17.2	17.6	-0.40
Darvin Ham	49	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-12	7	13.5	13.7	-0.19	19.2	15.8	3.40
Ervin Johnson	43	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-8	-1	13.5	13.7	-0.21	16.5	18.5	-2.01
Scott Williams	42	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-11	5	12.9	14.2	-1.28	15.0	19.6	-4.56
Jason Caffey	40	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-4	-9	13.4	13.7	-0.36	17.3	17.8	-0.51
Lindsey Hunter	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	-3	-11	13.9	13.2	0.69	18.6	16.4	2.20
Ray Allen	66	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-5	-7	13.4	14.0	-0.54	17.9	16.7	1.18
Glenn Robinson	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	-2	-13	13.8	12.8	0.93	17.9	16.3	1.55
Sam Cassell	87	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.15	-23	6	-29	13.4	16.7	-3.30	17.5	18.6	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MEM 119, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
NJN 106, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%