NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	106		Excitement	3.3 [1092]		MVP	Trenton Hassell (CHI): +8.1%
Chicago Bulls	81		Comeback	1.0 [1196]		LVP	Kevin Ollie (CHI): -10.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.03	10	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	0.01	0.11	12	77%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	11	67%	0.08	6	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	14	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	67%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	100%	0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	8	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	18	48%	0.01	5	-0.07	8	62%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	13	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	6	14%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	23.2	15.3	25.5	2.3	28.6	120.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +38.7%

NJN +0.9%

NJN +4.1%

NJN +5.2%

NJN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	13.8	17.4	15.6	114.0	88.0	102.3
season	14.7	15.6		101.4	96.3
opponent	15.6	16.0		105.5	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.6	15.0	14.2	13.4	13.8
CHI	17.4	17.7	17.9	16.6	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	42	39	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.07	16	9	7	14.1	13.5	0.65	18.9	16.3	2.61
Jason Kidd	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.29	22	3	19	13.5	14.6	-1.08	16.8	19.0	-2.17
Kerry Kittles	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	6	13	13.3	15.6	-2.31	17.1	18.5	-1.46
Aaron Williams	53	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.25	20	5	15	14.6	12.7	1.95	17.7	16.9	0.84
Jason Collins	35	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	12	1	15.8	12.6	3.19	19.4	16.1	3.23
Keith Van Horn	53	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	14	-3	12.8	15.0	-2.22	16.0	19.1	-3.06
Todd MacCulloch	40	41	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	20	-15	12.7	14.6	-1.95	16.9	17.7	-0.84
Anthony Johnson	24	23	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	22	-19	14.6	13.5	1.08	19.0	16.8	2.17
Richard Jefferson	56	56	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	16	-7	13.6	14.0	-0.40	16.6	18.6	-2.04
Brian Scalabrine	16	16	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	19	-13	15.7	13.4	2.37	17.9	17.3	0.61
Brandon Armstrong	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	10.0	14.0	-4.00	17.2	17.4	-0.18

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalibor Bagaric	31	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-30	35	17.8	17.2	0.61	14.3	13.5	0.85
A.J. Guyton	41	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.19	-12	-13	1	17.3	17.4	-0.09	14.3	13.4	0.87
Marcus Fizer	46	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.22	-16	-9	-7	17.6	17.2	0.43	14.6	13.0	1.59
Tyson Chandler	46	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-16	7	17.2	17.6	-0.43	13.0	14.6	-1.59
Fred Hoiberg	47	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	-11	-3	17.2	17.6	-0.36	14.7	12.8	1.99
Metta World Peace	68	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-7	-11	17.3	17.7	-0.40	13.4	14.9	-1.55
Kevin Ollie	51	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-12	-1	17.4	17.3	0.09	13.4	14.3	-0.87
Eddy Curry	53	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.29	-23	-2	-21	18.0	16.5	1.58	12.8	15.1	-2.30
Trenton Hassell	77	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.32	-25	0	-25	16.9	19.5	-2.59	14.0	12.6	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
NJN 96, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
LAL 94, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	96.4%