NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	4.2 [961]		MVP	Glen Rice (LAL): +11.3%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	1.0 [1028]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -12.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	11	73%	0.11	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Robert Horry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	20	51%	0.03	4	-0.06	11	73%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	20	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	13	46%	-0.05
Ron Harper	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	11	43%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	17	53%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	10	32%	-0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	28	44%	-0.08	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.6	2.7	26.6	18.6	29.0	2.5	43.5	155.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.2%

LAL +11.1%

LAL +3.6%

LAL +2.3%

LAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	TOR	NBA	LAL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.2	97.9	91.7	101.7
season	15.3	15.5		105.6	101.8
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.0	16.1	18.3	14.6	15.3
TOR	14.7	15.2	18.6	11.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	83	82	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	0	6	14.8	18.0	-3.17	14.5	16.1	-1.56
Glen Rice	69	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	-2	10	15.0	15.9	-0.87	14.9	14.4	0.46
Shaquille O'Neal	82	82	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	4	-2	15.8	11.9	3.98	15.3	11.4	3.88
A.C. Green	41	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-8	22	15.4	15.2	0.23	17.8	12.6	5.25
Ron Harper	61	60	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.16	5	1	4	15.2	15.4	-0.22	15.1	14.1	1.01
Derek Fisher	41	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	5	-4	15.9	14.8	1.16	14.2	15.2	-0.96
Rick Fox	28	28	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	3	0	16.5	14.7	1.75	14.7	14.8	-0.09
John Salley	11	12	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.02	3	3	0	14.2	15.4	-1.22	12.8	15.0	-2.18
Brian Shaw	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	6	-6	11.9	15.7	-3.79	14.1	14.8	-0.73
Robert Horry	53	53	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.38	-12	18	-30	15.1	15.5	-0.37	12.3	17.7	-5.36

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	36	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-9	12	13.2	15.7	-2.47	16.6	14.5	2.10
Dell Curry	50	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-7	8	14.0	15.5	-1.50	15.1	15.4	-0.26
Tracy McGrady	46	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-3	0	16.1	13.5	2.59	15.9	14.6	1.23
Dee Brown	59	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-4	2	14.6	15.0	-0.38	15.1	15.6	-0.50
John Thomas	39	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	1	-8	15.6	14.2	1.39	16.0	14.7	1.29
Antonio Davis	66	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-6	6	14.6	15.0	-0.33	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Charles Oakley	49	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	3	-12	15.8	13.6	2.24	14.7	15.9	-1.24
Muggsy Bogues	56	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-3	0	14.1	15.7	-1.60	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Vince Carter	79	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	4	-14	14.7	14.9	-0.24	14.9	17.2	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 96, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
LAC 107, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
NJN 106, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%