NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	107		Excitement	3.2 [1151]		MVP	Baron Davis (LAC): +10.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Comeback	1.0 [559]		LVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): -8.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	0.01	0.07	15	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	15	55%	0.08	3	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Al Thornton	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	14	44%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	22	56%	0.10	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	9	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	41%	-0.00	1	-0.02	12	75%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	9	27%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.7	35.3	15.8	24.7	1.8	31.2	137.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +19.9%

LAC +11.4%

LAC +9.0%

LAC +6.3%

LAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.8	14.0	15.5	115.1	89.4	106.4
season	15.7	15.8		100.7	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		109.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.4	16.3	17.8	16.8	16.8
MIN	13.6	15.7	15.8	11.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	63	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.44	33	-10	43	16.8	16.8	-0.04	14.6	12.8	1.73
Baron Davis	61	64	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.39	29	-6	35	16.7	17.0	-0.34	14.7	12.5	2.27
Al Thornton	64	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	5	13	17.4	15.5	1.87	14.2	13.6	0.56
Eric Gordon	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	9	5	17.2	16.2	1.03	16.1	11.0	5.05
Zach Randolph	64	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.07	13	10	3	17.6	15.1	2.52	14.6	12.6	2.01
Mardy Collins	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.22	17	6	11	16.3	17.6	-1.30	12.5	16.1	-3.53
Paul Davis	33	33	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	15	-7	16.3	17.1	-0.83	12.0	15.1	-3.15
Jason Hart	32	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	29	-35	17.0	16.7	0.34	12.5	14.7	-2.27
Mike Taylor	7	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	19	-15	14.3	17.0	-2.73	9.0	14.5	-5.48
DeAndre Jordan	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	33	-43	16.1	17.0	-0.95	15.1	13.7	1.31
Steve Novak	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	28	-33	14.2	17.2	-2.94	11.0	14.4	-3.41

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	11.1	14.4	-3.36	14.6	17.2	-2.55
Brian Cardinal	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	10.8	14.4	-3.59	14.4	17.1	-2.77
Sebastian Telfair	35	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-20	17	12.7	14.8	-2.02	16.2	17.1	-0.90
Craig Smith	23	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	-14	5	12.3	14.5	-2.20	15.8	17.1	-1.29
Jason Collins	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	-14	5	17.2	13.6	3.59	13.5	17.3	-3.80
Randy Foye	60	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-14	5	13.0	15.8	-2.75	17.1	16.3	0.80
Rodney Carney	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.25	-17	-6	-11	13.1	15.0	-1.86	16.0	17.7	-1.75
Rashad McCants	32	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-14	5	14.8	13.6	1.22	17.4	16.5	0.87
Kevin Love	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-10	-3	13.9	14.2	-0.22	18.3	13.8	4.55
Kevin Ollie	46	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	-8	-7	15.8	12.3	3.47	16.7	16.9	-0.15
Ryan Gomes	59	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-7	-9	14.7	12.9	1.84	17.3	16.0	1.34
Al Jefferson	70	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.33	-25	2	-27	15.1	10.9	4.21	17.1	16.0	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 118, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
ORL 107, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
LAL 94, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	96.5%