inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 97 Excitement3.0 [1185] MVPYao Ming (HOU): +7.6%
San Antonio Spurs 78 Comeback1.0 [333] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -11.0%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Yao Ming0.080,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.00-0.011561%0.112-0.036100%0.02
Bonzi Wells0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.02-0.051156%0.112-0.04560%-0.01
John Lucas III0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00675%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Charles Hayes0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00480%0.041-0.002100%0.01
Juwan Howard0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.000.04867%0.0400.00580%-0.00
Luther Head0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03658%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.041140%0.021-0.01367%-0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Steve Novak0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.050.000.051250%-0.034-0.0700%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.00-0.00570%0.0500.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.021125%0.0400.002100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.011760%0.063-0.031100%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.14-0.000.121379%0.083-0.063100%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.00-0.07337%-0.003-0.00250%-0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01133%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.110.00-0.04520%-0.033-0.0400%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.0160%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.00-0.021338%-0.034-0.081155%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.829.218.532.43.428.3140.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +30.5%
HOU +3.3%
HOU +9.7%
HOU +4.4%
HOU +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUSASNBAHOUSASNBA
this game17.115.815.4109.090.7104.5
season15.616.2103.6107.5
opponent15.415.798.999.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU15.915.916.820.417.1
SAS15.416.115.915.715.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luther Head73710.400.100.29-0.161901917.117.5-0.4516.114.31.72
Shane Battier70660.380.120.26-0.121721517.217.10.1016.014.81.25
Yao Ming48490.370.130.230.04118316.717.6-0.8816.215.20.99
Bonzi Wells57550.340.160.19-0.101541117.416.70.7015.116.8-1.69
Juwan Howard51490.300.200.10-0.08136716.717.7-0.9115.216.5-1.33
Rafer Alston67630.290.210.07-0.07127516.718.5-1.8715.317.0-1.70
John Lucas III22230.210.29-0.070.01712-518.516.71.8717.015.31.70
Charles Hayes44420.170.33-0.15-0.00613-717.017.2-0.2215.815.70.15
Dikembe Mutombo760.040.46-0.430.01118-1719.616.92.6418.515.52.95
Vassilis Spanoulis220.000.50-0.500.06-221-2320.017.12.9312.515.8-3.33
Scott Padgett220.000.50-0.500.06-221-2320.017.12.9312.515.8-3.33
Steve Novak220.000.50-0.500.06-221-2320.017.12.9312.515.8-3.33

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Beno Udrih1415-0.05-0.450.410.07-4-151114.516.0-1.5017.017.2-0.16
Jacque Vaughn1516-0.05-0.450.400.10-5-14915.515.8-0.2717.217.10.06
Fabricio Oberto1215-0.11-0.390.280.04-5-14915.315.8-0.4918.416.91.52
Matt Bonner2123-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-12515.515.8-0.3717.117.2-0.06
Robert Horry3939-0.18-0.320.130.05-8-11315.915.60.2617.017.2-0.24
Michael Finley2627-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-12516.415.50.9017.916.81.08
Francisco Elson3939-0.23-0.270.030.09-11-8-316.115.50.6316.817.4-0.56
Manu Ginobili5253-0.24-0.260.01-0.04-7-12515.316.5-1.2316.817.7-0.89
Brent Barry5052-0.27-0.23-0.030.08-12-7-515.516.1-0.5617.117.2-0.05
Bruce Bowen3839-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-10116.515.21.2916.817.4-0.56
Tim Duncan6162-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.12-7-12515.616.1-0.4617.117.1-0.02
Tony Parker6365-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.02-13-6-716.015.10.8517.316.60.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 106, NYK 950.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,096.9%
TOR 113, GSW 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%
NYK 95, MIA 750.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%