inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 94 Excitement3.7 [1082] MVPJarrett Jack (GSW): +11.0%
Utah Jazz 83 Comeback1.3 [439] LVPJamaal Tinsley (UTA): -11.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarrett Jack0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.03-0.02971%0.122-0.013100%0.03
Klay Thompson0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.02-0.021352%0.0900.003100%0.02
David Lee0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.021650%0.0700.004100%0.01
Stephen Curry0.030,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.000.041855%0.042-0.02683%0.02
Festus Ezeli0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02558%0.0100.002100%0.00
Richard Jefferson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Jenkins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Tyler-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Draymond Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00350%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Andris Biedrins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.0100%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Carl Landry-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.001233%-0.052-0.0500%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.011054%0.0400.006100%0.03
Al Jefferson0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.000.021556%0.0400.002100%0.01
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.06483%0.021-0.00450%-0.02
Jeremy Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.021137%-0.031-0.00250%-0.00
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01845%-0.002-0.03475%-0.00
Gordon Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011037%-0.021-0.02425%-0.04
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.011040%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.120.00-0.0420%-0.014-0.0600%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01617%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.01-0.0030%-0.053-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.430.615.325.51.827.3126.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +31.9%
GSW +10.1%
UTA -3.3%
GSW +12.2%
UTA -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWUTANBAGSWUTANBA
this game14.916.415.4101.191.2104.1
season14.616.0104.6104.6
opponent15.115.3105.0103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.715.412.418.514.9
UTA17.616.617.114.216.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Klay Thompson61600.470.030.44-0.0618-72514.515.8-1.3217.115.02.18
Stephen Curry75740.450.050.400.0713-21514.815.4-0.6616.416.5-0.15
Jarrett Jack61580.430.070.360.0214-31715.414.11.3016.316.5-0.17
David Lee67670.390.110.290.0113-21514.615.7-1.0816.815.41.34
Festus Ezeli28270.310.190.13-0.1315-41912.615.9-3.3516.916.20.74
Carl Landry40390.160.34-0.18-0.0574317.213.24.0616.616.20.41
Andris Biedrins37360.130.37-0.240.16-112-1314.215.4-1.1117.215.91.40
Draymond Green29280.090.41-0.32-0.0347-314.815.0-0.2316.516.30.19
Harrison Barnes32320.070.43-0.360.16-314-1714.115.4-1.3016.616.30.29
Richard Jefferson66-0.000.50-0.500.15-516-2115.314.90.4511.816.7-4.90
Kent Bazemore66-0.000.50-0.500.15-516-2115.314.90.4511.816.7-4.90
Jeremy Tyler88-0.000.50-0.500.21-718-2516.914.72.159.917.0-7.16
Charles Jenkins1514-0.010.51-0.520.23-819-2717.514.43.1215.116.6-1.58

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMarre Carroll880.00-0.500.50-0.217-18259.917.0-7.1616.914.72.15
Jeremy Evans880.00-0.500.50-0.217-18259.917.0-7.1616.914.72.15
Alec Burks4244-0.07-0.430.36-0.194-151915.617.1-1.5117.212.94.35
Enes Kanter3233-0.12-0.380.26-0.151-121315.716.8-1.0617.613.44.13
Gordon Hayward4547-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-5-6117.015.81.1716.213.62.54
Paul Millsap5051-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-4-7316.216.7-0.5513.616.5-2.89
Earl Watson4951-0.23-0.270.05-0.17-2-9716.116.8-0.7015.813.81.97
Jamaal Tinsley4242-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.01-9-2-716.816.10.7013.815.8-1.97
Derrick Favors3334-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-143-1718.415.33.0716.414.12.36
Marvin Williams3838-0.34-0.16-0.170.05-132-1517.115.91.1512.916.3-3.33
Al Jefferson5960-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-121-1316.815.71.0613.417.6-4.13
Randy Foye4949-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-154-1917.115.61.5112.917.2-4.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 107, CLE 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
IND 90, MIL 760.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%
MEM 119, DEN 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%