NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	4.3 [975]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +9.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	80		Comeback	1.0 [614]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (POR): -9.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	21	57%	0.11	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.01	17	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Taft	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Miles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	14	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	31%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	16	56%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Sergei Monia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	47%	-0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	58%	0.01	5	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	4	43%	-0.03	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	28.0	15.0	22.1	2.5	32.6	124.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.7%

POR -5.8%

POR -0.6%

GSW +28.8%

POR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	16.3	16.4	15.6	104.6	89.9	104.4
season	14.8	16.6		102.9	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.8	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	17.2	17.4	18.0	16.3
POR	17.7	19.6	16.1	12.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	55	56	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.07	21	-10	31	15.7	17.3	-1.63	17.5	14.6	2.83
Troy Murphy	73	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-3	17	16.0	17.8	-1.76	16.5	16.0	0.49
Baron Davis	73	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-5	21	16.2	17.1	-0.91	16.4	16.3	0.13
Mike Dunleavy	61	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	1	9	15.5	18.2	-2.63	15.7	18.1	-2.43
Jason Richardson	77	78	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.19	4	7	-3	15.9	19.5	-3.60	16.5	15.6	0.89
Derek Fisher	38	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	9	-7	17.8	15.1	2.72	14.9	17.6	-2.70
Mickael Pietrus	31	31	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	7	-3	17.8	15.5	2.37	17.1	16.0	1.09
Aaron Miles	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	20.0	16.3	3.73	5.0	16.5	-11.55
Andris Biedrins	9	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	12	-13	13.7	16.6	-2.95	18.2	16.2	2.01
Chris Taft	13	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	16	-21	19.6	15.7	3.89	16.4	16.4	-0.04
Calbert Cheaney	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	19	-27	20.2	16.1	4.13	17.0	16.4	0.61

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	38	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-11	11	16.4	16.5	-0.08	17.9	15.0	2.97
Travis Outlaw	24	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-8	5	11.8	18.1	-6.27	16.3	16.3	-0.07
Juan Dixon	54	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-10	9	14.1	20.0	-5.91	17.5	14.6	2.90
Theo Ratliff	48	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-9	7	17.3	15.4	1.95	17.2	15.2	1.96
Jarrett Jack	20	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-2	-7	16.5	16.4	0.11	16.7	16.2	0.55
Sebastian Telfair	73	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-9	7	16.2	17.4	-1.17	16.2	16.8	-0.59
Joel Przybilla	29	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	2	-15	17.9	15.7	2.25	14.0	17.4	-3.40
Zach Randolph	58	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-6	1	17.0	15.4	1.63	15.5	17.7	-2.17
Sergei Monia	24	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	5	-21	20.9	14.8	6.16	12.9	17.6	-4.74
Darius Miles	77	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-7	3	16.7	14.5	2.21	16.6	14.3	2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 112, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SAS 107, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.28,0.34,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
GSW 115, LAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%