inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 116 Excitement2.9 [1158] MVPGeorges Niang (CLE): +9.8%
Atlanta Hawks 95 Comeback1.0 [848] LVPSaddiq Bey (ATL): -11.4%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Georges Niang0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.120.010.03978%0.1000.0000%0.00
Dean Wade0.080,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.200.000.127121%0.0800.0000%0.00
Sam Merrill0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.00-0.031655%0.101-0.021100%0.01
Tristan Thompson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Max Strus0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.021059%0.062-0.022100%0.01
Isaac Okoro0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00957%0.052-0.02333%-0.01
Donovan Mitchell0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.021745%0.031-0.016100%0.02
Craig Porter Jr.0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.00-0.06350%0.033-0.022100%0.01
Pete Nance0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damian Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarrett Allen-0.000,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02878%0.054-0.052100%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dejounte Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.031960%0.072-0.022100%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.001154%0.041-0.01475%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.030.011262%0.094-0.0700%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.043100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jalen Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.021653%0.0110.00650%-0.02
Seth Lundy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruno Fernando0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
AJ Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trent Forrest0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03312%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.030.000.05357%-0.0300.001100%-0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03837%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Saddiq Bey0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.21-0.00-0.09120%-0.101-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.41.525.314.428.62.426.5123.1
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +37.7%
CLE +7.1%
CLE +3.2%
ATL -0.7%
CLE +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEATLNBACLEATLNBA
this game14.813.714.5114.994.1113.9
season14.714.2112.9115.7
opponent14.314.7118.0111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE13.114.314.617.714.8
ATL14.013.413.713.713.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donovan Mitchell75760.400.100.30-0.101741314.715.0-0.2913.912.91.03
Max Strus45430.380.120.25-0.06156913.915.6-1.7214.113.40.70
Georges Niang46460.300.200.09-0.031110114.415.2-0.7912.914.3-1.43
Craig Porter Jr.43430.270.230.030.12516-1115.314.50.8013.214.1-0.88
Isaac Okoro73730.260.240.03-0.291921714.016.9-2.8213.314.7-1.36
Tristan Thompson31310.260.240.02-0.15147714.015.2-1.1412.714.1-1.42
Jarrett Allen69690.240.26-0.020.03714-715.114.11.0214.312.41.93
Dean Wade53530.210.29-0.08-0.111110114.714.9-0.1814.612.71.84
Sam Merrill62610.190.31-0.12-0.04813-515.513.71.8813.713.7-0.01
Pete Nance450.000.50-0.500.03-122-2323.214.58.7812.813.7-0.94
Damian Jones450.000.50-0.500.03-122-2323.214.58.7812.813.7-0.94

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trent Forrest1090.04-0.540.58-0.146-273313.513.7-0.2120.814.26.54
Seth Lundy550.00-0.500.50-0.093-242712.813.7-0.9422.414.47.97
Bruno Fernando550.00-0.500.50-0.093-242712.813.7-0.9422.414.47.97
AJ Griffin550.00-0.500.50-0.093-242712.813.7-0.9422.414.47.97
Patty Mills2020-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-242714.513.51.0714.714.9-0.15
Clint Capela4847-0.21-0.290.090.20-14-7-714.213.20.9414.515.1-0.66
Bogdan Bogdanovic5958-0.24-0.260.010.14-13-8-513.613.8-0.2015.014.60.42
Garrison Mathews2929-0.25-0.250.01-0.16-3-181512.814.0-1.2116.014.31.65
Onyeka Okongwu4849-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.00-10-11113.314.1-0.7614.415.2-0.84
Trae Young6667-0.35-0.15-0.210.23-20-1-1913.114.8-1.7413.218.0-4.75
Jalen Johnson7677-0.35-0.15-0.210.20-19-2-1713.314.8-1.5214.017.5-3.57
Saddiq Bey6262-0.40-0.10-0.310.30-243-2714.712.12.6314.714.9-0.21
Dejounte Murray7272-0.43-0.07-0.360.16-20-1-1914.112.71.4114.914.60.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 98, OKC 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,096.4%
SAS 114, POR 800.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
LAL 128, OKC 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%