NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	128		Excitement	2.7 [1079]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +10.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Comeback	1.0 [1078]		LVP	Mike Muscala (OKC): -6.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.01	13	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	20	59%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Alex Caruso	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	150%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	12	66%	0.05	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	9	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.02	12	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aleksej Pokusevski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	75%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Roby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	61%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	55%	0.03	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.08	5	90%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	39%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.03	9	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	28.3	14.6	28.8	1.8	27.2	124.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.8%

LAL +2.1%

LAL +10.9%

LAL +0.5%

LAL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.3	13.8	14.4	129.3	100.0	111.3
season	14.6	14.2		108.6	102.4
opponent	14.0	14.5		112.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	17.4	14.8	14.3	15.3
OKC	14.1	12.6	15.2	13.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	40	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.27	24	5	19	14.5	15.8	-1.30	15.9	12.5	3.40
LeBron James	56	55	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	15	-1	15.9	14.4	1.47	14.0	13.6	0.36
Dennis Schroder	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.31	22	7	15	14.4	16.9	-2.53	14.9	11.7	3.26
Montrezl Harrell	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	16	-3	15.6	14.8	0.76	12.8	15.1	-2.37
Markieff Morris	51	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.13	13	16	-3	15.5	15.0	0.57	12.7	15.0	-2.34
Anthony Davis	49	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.23	16	13	3	14.7	15.8	-1.11	15.0	12.7	2.34
Talen Horton-Tucker	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.13	10	19	-9	15.1	15.3	-0.15	13.2	14.1	-0.82
Alex Caruso	45	46	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	31	-33	16.8	14.0	2.76	12.3	15.1	-2.78
Quinn Cook	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	22	-15	12.6	15.7	-3.04	13.0	14.0	-0.98
Alfonzo McKinnie	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	25	-21	14.2	15.4	-1.20	12.8	14.0	-1.15

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hall	17	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-26	23	12.8	14.0	-1.23	13.2	15.7	-2.46
Justin Jackson	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-25	21	12.8	14.0	-1.15	14.2	15.4	-1.20
Moses Brown	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-22	15	13.0	14.0	-0.98	12.6	15.7	-3.04
Kenrich Williams	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-35	41	11.9	14.8	-2.90	16.2	14.8	1.38
Theo Maledon	56	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-21	13	12.2	16.0	-3.78	15.4	15.1	0.25
Aleksej Pokusevski	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-22	15	12.3	15.1	-2.78	15.8	14.8	0.98
Hamidou Diallo	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-22	15	12.3	15.0	-2.67	16.1	14.6	1.44
Isaiah Roby	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-20	11	15.2	12.6	2.54	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Mike Muscala	38	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-14	-1	12.5	14.7	-2.17	16.4	14.5	1.91
Darius Bazley	49	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	-10	-9	15.0	12.7	2.26	15.1	15.4	-0.38
George Hill	41	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.28	-21	-8	-13	16.1	12.2	3.90	15.0	15.4	-0.36
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	55	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.31	-22	-7	-15	15.1	12.3	2.78	14.8	15.8	-0.98
Luguentz Dort	48	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.36	-29	0	-29	15.9	11.9	3.99	15.1	15.4	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, OKC 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.1%
DAL 100, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
MIL 115, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%