NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	115		Excitement	3.2 [1148]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +10.5%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	1.0 [972]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -8.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.04	12	71%	0.12	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.05	10	74%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	9	83%	0.11	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
John Henson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	60%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Gutierrez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny O'Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	12	48%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	14	57%	0.02	5	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	2	87%	0.04	3	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	10	55%	0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	19	44%	0.03	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	0.01	0.12	8	89%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	12	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	0.04	17	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	11	82%	-0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	0.05	10	62%	-0.01	5	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	30.2	16.3	24.4	2.7	30.5	131.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +41.0%

MIL +2.4%

ORL -13.1%

MIL +18.3%

MIL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.8	15.1	110.6	96.2	104.2
season	14.5	14.9		100.5	100.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		105.9	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.5	14.3	12.8	16.1	13.9
ORL	13.2	14.5	15.3	12.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.11	19	-4	23	13.8	14.2	-0.42	13.9	13.4	0.51
Khris Middleton	73	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	2	11	14.7	12.1	2.60	14.2	12.9	1.29
Brandon Knight	72	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	3	9	13.5	14.9	-1.47	14.0	13.2	0.77
Jared Dudley	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.20	17	-2	19	12.7	15.4	-2.66	14.7	12.6	2.09
John Henson	51	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	6	3	15.0	12.9	2.04	13.9	13.7	0.24
Jerryd Bayless	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	12	-9	15.0	13.2	1.81	13.5	14.0	-0.44
Kenyon Martin	48	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	5	5	12.6	15.0	-2.41	14.0	13.6	0.38
O.J. Mayo	59	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	14	-13	14.2	13.6	0.65	12.8	15.0	-2.25
Jorge Gutierrez	15	16	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	17	-19	12.4	14.2	-1.78	12.4	14.0	-1.65
Johnny O'Bryant	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	22	-29	14.7	13.6	1.10	12.6	14.3	-1.65

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	9.7	13.9	-4.18	15.8	13.8	1.97
Dewayne Dedmon	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-26	37	10.1	14.4	-4.33	16.7	13.4	3.28
Ben Gordon	9	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-13	11	12.0	13.9	-1.94	10.9	14.1	-3.29
Kyle O'Quinn	60	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-22	29	12.9	14.9	-1.98	13.9	14.0	-0.10
Willie Green	35	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.46	13	-28	41	12.0	14.7	-2.71	14.2	13.8	0.37
Evan Fournier	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-15	15	12.7	15.5	-2.83	14.3	13.3	0.94
Channing Frye	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.18	-14	-1	-13	16.0	12.8	3.27	13.2	14.2	-1.02
Aaron Gordon	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-7	-1	14.6	13.2	1.35	14.4	13.6	0.73
Tobias Harris	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.26	-18	3	-21	14.4	13.2	1.16	12.3	15.3	-2.99
Victor Oladipo	73	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.28	-24	9	-33	14.5	12.2	2.29	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Elfrid Payton	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	3	-21	14.0	13.0	0.98	14.3	12.4	1.91
Nikola Vucevic	56	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.30	-26	11	-37	15.0	12.4	2.59	13.8	14.0	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
PHX 94, CHI 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
SAS 120, SEA 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%