NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	120		Excitement	3.0 [1189]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +10.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	79		Comeback	1.0 [1244]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -6.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	9	78%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	11	79%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	83%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Robert Horry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.08	7	81%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	4	43%	0.01	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Sene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	12	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	11	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	0.8	30.2	14.7	29.0	1.0	29.2	131.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.2%

SAS +4.1%

SEA -6.2%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SEA	NBA	SAS	SEA	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.4	131.9	86.8	104.5
season	16.2	15.4		107.5	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.3	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.3	15.6	17.0	17.9	16.5
SEA	16.0	17.1	12.5	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	58	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.25	21	20	1	15.9	17.5	-1.61	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Tony Parker	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	28	-15	17.3	15.5	1.74	13.9	16.8	-2.94
Manu Ginobili	46	45	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.19	17	24	-7	16.5	16.4	0.03	15.9	14.5	1.48
Michael Finley	36	34	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.25	19	22	-3	15.8	16.9	-1.13	16.4	14.4	2.00
Matt Bonner	32	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.44	23	18	5	17.8	15.7	2.13	15.8	14.8	0.94
Brent Barry	47	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.56	26	15	11	16.2	16.8	-0.60	14.3	16.2	-1.88
Francisco Elson	48	50	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	40	-39	17.6	15.2	2.46	13.8	16.9	-3.17
Bruce Bowen	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.22	14	27	-13	16.4	16.5	-0.10	14.4	16.0	-1.65
Fabricio Oberto	27	29	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.60	26	15	11	14.3	17.4	-3.03	17.7	14.0	3.62
Jacque Vaughn	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.61	26	15	11	16.0	17.0	-0.98	16.4	14.0	2.39
Robert Horry	8	7	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	40	-39	16.5	16.5	0.04	16.4	15.1	1.35
Beno Udrih	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.53	18	23	-5	17.6	16.3	1.29	16.1	15.1	1.03

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	33	33	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.26	-8	-33	25	16.1	14.7	1.42	16.6	16.4	0.18
Mouhamed Sene	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-37	33	18.5	15.1	3.39	7.5	16.7	-9.16
Danny Fortson	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.41	-14	-27	13	15.6	15.1	0.46	19.6	16.1	3.53
Mike Wilks	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.35	-13	-28	15	15.9	15.1	0.79	19.8	15.9	3.93
Andre Brown	14	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-38	35	16.4	15.0	1.38	17.2	16.4	0.81
Luke Ridnour	64	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.24	-16	-25	9	14.4	17.0	-2.58	16.4	16.6	-0.26
Mickael Gelabale	50	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.64	-30	-11	-19	15.5	14.8	0.74	17.4	15.4	1.99
Damien Wilkins	56	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	-23	5	14.9	15.6	-0.62	15.7	17.7	-1.99
Earl Watson	55	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.79	-39	-2	-37	15.8	14.2	1.55	16.1	17.0	-0.84
Chris Wilcox	51	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	-22	3	14.5	16.1	-1.63	16.1	17.0	-0.94
Rashard Lewis	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-25	9	14.5	16.8	-2.31	16.7	15.9	0.76
Nick Collison	42	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.27	-25	-16	-9	15.8	14.7	1.16	15.4	17.4	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 112, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIL 115, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MEM 98, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%