NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	112		Excitement	3.0 [1146]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +8.0%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.1 [489]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -10.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	17	63%	0.10	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	12	67%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	14	50%	0.08	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	13	63%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	17	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	26	43%	-0.03	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	6	6%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.6	28.8	14.8	26.5	2.5	27.6	129.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +40.6%

NJN -0.7%

TOR +12.0%

NJN -2.3%

TOR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.2	117.9	95.8	101.7
season	15.5	15.5		101.8	102.1
opponent	14.7	14.9		103.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.8	15.1	15.2	18.6	15.7
NJN	14.4	16.2	14.8	12.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	10	0	16.3	14.4	1.98	14.2	15.1	-0.93
Kevin Willis	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	10	0	15.9	15.3	0.59	14.0	15.2	-1.15
John Thomas	33	33	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.28	19	1	18	15.8	15.6	0.16	16.0	13.7	2.22
Charles Oakley	51	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	9	2	15.2	16.2	-0.99	14.7	14.2	0.48
Vince Carter	60	61	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	11	-2	15.4	16.1	-0.69	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Muggsy Bogues	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	8	4	16.3	14.9	1.45	13.9	15.1	-1.19
Doug Christie	45	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	12	-4	14.9	16.3	-1.45	15.1	13.9	1.19
Dell Curry	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	9	2	16.1	15.4	0.69	15.1	14.2	0.91
Alvin Williams	33	33	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	10	0	14.4	16.3	-1.98	15.1	14.2	0.93
Antonio Davis	42	43	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	13	-6	15.5	15.7	-0.19	15.1	14.0	1.10
Michael Stewart	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	27	-34	16.7	15.5	1.17	8.0	15.2	-7.18

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.01	-1	-19	18	12.7	15.1	-2.39	18.6	14.7	3.90
Gheorghe Muresan	23	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	-13	6	12.9	15.0	-2.16	17.8	14.9	2.86
Jim McIlvaine	32	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-19	18	13.7	14.9	-1.19	14.8	16.0	-1.25
Sherman Douglas	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-12	4	21.4	13.8	7.65	16.6	15.6	1.00
Lucious Harris	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-12	4	14.5	14.6	-0.13	16.5	14.6	1.88
Scott Burrell	39	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-11	2	14.5	14.5	-0.08	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Johnny Newman	32	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.36	-21	1	-22	16.6	13.5	3.12	15.4	15.8	-0.39
Kendall Gill	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-8	-4	14.6	14.5	0.13	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Keith Van Horn	78	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-14	8	14.5	14.7	-0.26	16.0	14.3	1.63
Stephon Marbury	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-16	12	13.4	19.5	-6.03	15.1	18.2	-3.15
Jamie Feick	69	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.13	-23	3	-26	15.5	12.1	3.39	15.1	17.0	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 118, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
MIN 95, VAN 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
SAS 120, SEA 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%