NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	118		Excitement	3.2 [1147]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +14.7%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.1 [755]		LVP	Sam Dekker (HOU): -4.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.00	-0.02	11	75%	0.15	2	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
James Harden	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.17	0.01	0.10	16	75%	0.13	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	71%	0.06	4	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	53%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04
Corey Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
KJ McDaniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Ennis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Wiltjer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Dekker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	12	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	55%	0.03	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Maurice Ndour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	60%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	10	40%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	18	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	15	60%	0.04	5	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	32.2	16.4	25.4	2.5	28.7	135.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.8%

HOU +8.5%

HOU +12.7%

NYK -0.0%

HOU +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	13.9	14.6	14.8	116.8	98.0	107.7
season	13.7	15.0		113.2	106.6
opponent	14.7	14.9		110.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.4	12.4	15.6	15.3	13.9
NYK	14.7	15.9	15.7	12.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.17	20	-1	21	15.3	11.9	3.46	15.5	13.5	2.01
James Harden	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.26	21	-2	23	14.5	12.5	2.05	14.8	14.4	0.42
Trevor Ariza	61	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	4	11	15.1	12.0	3.02	15.3	13.6	1.65
Montrezl Harrell	58	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	6	7	13.0	15.0	-1.97	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Ryan Anderson	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	8	3	15.7	11.3	4.39	14.9	14.3	0.51
Sam Dekker	42	43	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	11	-3	11.3	15.7	-4.39	14.3	14.9	-0.51
Clint Capela	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	13	-7	15.0	13.0	1.97	15.2	14.3	0.90
Corey Brewer	31	31	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	11	-3	12.3	14.6	-2.33	14.3	14.8	-0.56
Tyler Ennis	22	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	17	-15	12.9	14.1	-1.23	15.5	14.4	1.09
KJ McDaniels	43	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	20	-21	11.9	15.3	-3.46	13.5	15.5	-2.01
Kyle Wiltjer	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	11.3	14.1	-2.79	11.6	14.9	-3.39
Bobby Brown	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	11.3	14.1	-2.79	11.6	14.9	-3.39

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	12.2	15.0	-2.86	14.1	13.8	0.24
Ron Baker	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-17	15	12.6	15.7	-3.08	14.3	13.6	0.68
Lance Thomas	21	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-14	9	15.0	14.5	0.45	13.0	14.1	-1.04
Kyle O'Quinn	11	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-14	9	15.8	14.5	1.32	10.5	14.2	-3.74
Sasha Vujacic	20	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-16	13	15.0	14.6	0.44	13.2	14.0	-0.86
Maurice Ndour	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-17	15	14.1	15.0	-0.92	14.3	13.6	0.79
Kristaps Porzingis	55	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-11	3	15.3	13.8	1.50	14.9	12.6	2.27
Joakim Noah	36	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-10	1	15.5	14.2	1.29	15.1	13.2	1.95
Brandon Jennings	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-8	-3	13.7	15.6	-1.88	13.8	14.0	-0.22
Justin Holiday	40	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-8	-3	15.0	14.4	0.55	12.2	15.0	-2.80
Derrick Rose	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-4	-11	15.2	13.7	1.52	14.4	13.1	1.28
Courtney Lee	59	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-8	-3	15.0	14.1	0.90	13.6	14.3	-0.71
Carmelo Anthony	66	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.12	-17	-2	-15	14.7	14.5	0.24	13.7	14.2	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 112, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
POR 98, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
OKC 118, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%