inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 118 Excitement2.9 [1206] MVPDennis Schroder (OKC): +20.8%
Miami Heat 102 Comeback1.1 [954] LVPSteven Adams (OKC): -6.0%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dennis Schroder0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.270.010.0613100%0.221-0.012100%0.01
Paul George0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.350.010.162383%0.212-0.02683%0.00
Russell Westbrook0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.051056%0.044-0.01540%-0.01
Jerami Grant0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.051038%0.021-0.001100%0.00
Hamidou Diallo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05217%0.0010.00250%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.01462%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Terrance Ferguson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nerlens Noel-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03633%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Alex Abrines-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Abdel Nader-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.05517%-0.031-0.002100%0.00
Steven Adams-0.060,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.011542%-0.013-0.051100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.06577%0.0300.00367%-0.01
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.130.000.121284%0.043-0.021100%0.00
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00753%0.022-0.021100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.100.01-0.07835%0.033-0.04475%-0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.031145%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00743%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.031847%-0.011-0.012100%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.031052%0.055-0.0930%-0.03
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.00-0.041025%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.71.826.914.825.42.428.6127.5
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +31.5%
OKC +3.4%
OKC +4.3%
OKC +9.4%
OKC +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMIANBAOKCMIANBA
this game12.515.814.3114.6101.0109.3
season12.914.8108.9106.3
opponent14.314.9106.7106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.010.314.912.112.5
MIA13.716.816.416.215.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul George77760.480.020.46-0.3428-124012.412.8-0.3515.715.9-0.16
Terrance Ferguson50480.400.100.31-0.041511413.311.81.5115.216.3-1.14
Jerami Grant64620.390.110.28-0.2522-62812.312.9-0.5915.416.3-0.85
Steven Adams60600.340.160.19-0.2119-32211.913.3-1.3315.216.6-1.43
Dennis Schroder62620.330.170.15-0.111511412.013.3-1.3916.614.42.16
Russell Westbrook69690.310.190.12-0.01115612.013.4-1.4015.616.1-0.44
Nerlens Noel43410.160.34-0.190.24-319-2213.311.91.3316.615.21.43
Patrick Patterson33330.110.39-0.280.11016-1612.512.5-0.0317.015.21.84
Alex Abrines20190.010.49-0.490.24-824-3211.312.8-1.4315.615.8-0.16
Hamidou Diallo660.000.50-0.500.18-622-2815.012.42.6512.316.0-3.65
Abdel Nader3129-0.030.53-0.550.36-1329-4214.411.72.6515.515.9-0.39

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodney McGruder890.00-0.500.50-0.155-212612.616.0-3.4115.412.23.22
Wayne Ellington890.00-0.500.50-0.155-212612.616.0-3.4115.412.23.22
Bam Adebayo4951-0.14-0.360.21-0.140-161616.814.81.9313.012.10.90
Dwyane Wade4746-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-9216.814.91.8812.412.6-0.13
Dion Waiters5356-0.24-0.260.03-0.09-5-11616.415.11.3312.612.40.11
James Johnson4645-0.24-0.260.010.05-10-6-414.816.6-1.8012.512.50.01
Tyler Johnson4847-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-11-5-615.116.4-1.3312.412.6-0.11
Kelly Olynyk6466-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-5-11616.215.01.2012.013.3-1.28
Hassan Whiteside4344-0.33-0.17-0.160.17-171-1815.016.3-1.2912.712.40.27
Josh Richardson7274-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-4-815.117.4-2.2712.412.7-0.31
Justise Winslow6768-0.47-0.03-0.450.20-237-3016.514.32.2111.913.7-1.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 107, CHA 800.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.2%
NYK 107, PHI 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.2%
ATL 99, SEA 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,097.1%