NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	99		Excitement	2.8 [1214]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +10.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	90		Comeback	1.0 [880]		LVP	Kevin Durant (SEA): -12.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.04	20	63%	0.13	2	-0.02	12	75%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	12	46%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	12	38%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	13	47%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Acie Law	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	0.00	0.08	9	72%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	10	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.00	21	38%	-0.09	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	30.2	15.8	28.1	2.4	37.5	140.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.8%

ATL +4.4%

ATL +8.7%

ATL +2.4%

ATL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SEA	NBA	ATL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	13.9	15.4	102.1	90.0	105.7
season	15.4	14.5		104.2	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.7		107.9	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.2	14.1	15.1	18.6	15.3
SEA	16.1	16.5	12.7	10.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	66	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-8	25	15.2	15.6	-0.45	15.1	11.5	3.57
Joe Johnson	70	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-9	27	15.0	16.1	-1.06	14.8	11.7	3.11
Al Horford	74	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-3	15	15.4	14.9	0.52	14.5	11.8	2.77
Anthony Johnson	69	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-2	13	15.1	15.9	-0.77	14.2	13.4	0.82
Marvin Williams	80	83	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	9	-9	16.0	12.1	3.87	13.2	17.7	-4.53
Josh Childress	54	53	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	7	-5	14.5	16.3	-1.74	13.3	14.7	-1.46
Acie Law	30	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	13	-17	15.5	15.2	0.32	13.0	14.4	-1.36
Zaza Pachulia	36	35	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	16	-23	15.8	15.0	0.74	12.4	14.8	-2.38
Shelden Williams	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	13	-17	15.3	15.3	0.03	12.7	14.0	-1.37
Mario West	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	9	-9	0.0	15.3	-15.31	3.0	14.1	-11.06

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	43	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.44	14	-23	37	11.3	16.0	-4.69	16.9	13.9	3.03
Wally Szczerbiak	51	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-13	17	12.3	15.7	-3.34	15.9	14.6	1.36
Luke Ridnour	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-15	21	12.1	15.6	-3.47	16.5	14.2	2.27
Johan Petro	43	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-12	15	13.7	14.2	-0.48	18.0	13.3	4.66
Nick Collison	43	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-8	7	13.9	14.0	-0.12	17.3	13.7	3.66
Kurt Thomas	40	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	4	-17	15.5	12.9	2.67	13.7	16.4	-2.67
Earl Watson	52	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	6	-21	15.6	12.1	3.47	14.2	16.5	-2.27
Chris Wilcox	70	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	13.6	14.7	-1.02	13.9	18.4	-4.43
Jeff Green	41	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	9	-27	17.0	11.8	5.13	13.8	16.2	-2.39
Kevin Durant	69	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.05	-18	9	-27	14.6	12.5	2.17	13.8	18.3	-4.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 118, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
MEM 108, ORL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
OKC 118, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%