NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	3.1 [1154]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +22.0%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.1 [783]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): -11.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.27	0.00	0.05	26	74%	0.25	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.00	-0.01	13	73%	0.10	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	11	54%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
DJ Strawberry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	18	39%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	24	52%	0.08	4	-0.04	16	44%	-0.05
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Augustine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.14	0.00	0.16	6	108%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	8	65%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	-0.05	14	25%	-0.08	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	26.4	17.4	26.5	2.3	25.6	125.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.9%

PHX +0.8%

PHX +3.0%

PHX +9.8%

PHX +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.4	110.4	100.0	105.7
season	13.8	15.1		111.1	109.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		104.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	15.3	13.1	17.3	14.9
ORL	14.3	15.3	16.2	14.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	87	87	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	-4	18	14.6	17.4	-2.82	14.7	18.9	-4.16
Grant Hill	74	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-5	20	14.8	15.1	-0.33	15.2	14.8	0.39
Steve Nash	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	-4	18	15.1	14.1	1.05	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Amar'e Stoudemire	51	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-2	14	13.9	16.0	-2.14	15.9	14.2	1.64
Shawn Marion	69	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	8	-6	14.7	15.5	-0.83	15.2	14.9	0.26
Boris Diaw	74	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	7	-4	16.1	11.0	5.10	14.9	15.7	-0.74
Marcus Banks	27	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.27	-6	16	-22	14.6	15.0	-0.46	15.4	15.0	0.44
Brian Skinner	20	21	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	5	0	14.2	15.1	-0.87	16.0	14.9	1.13
DJ Strawberry	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	19	-28	17.6	14.7	2.86	9.7	15.3	-5.60

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Augustine	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-19	28	9.7	15.3	-5.60	17.6	14.7	2.86
Pat Garrity	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-5	0	15.2	15.1	0.16	12.1	15.4	-3.34
Trevor Ariza	38	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-14	18	15.2	15.1	0.12	16.9	13.5	3.41
Adonal Foyle	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-3	-4	17.4	14.9	2.50	12.4	15.1	-2.65
Keith Bogans	31	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-4	-2	15.0	15.2	-0.17	12.3	16.1	-3.88
Jameer Nelson	37	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-4	-2	15.1	15.1	-0.01	12.6	16.4	-3.77
Carlos Arroyo	59	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-6	2	15.1	15.1	0.01	16.4	12.6	3.77
Rashard Lewis	79	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-11	12	15.2	14.5	0.71	14.7	15.8	-1.14
Keyon Dooling	65	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-6	2	15.2	15.0	0.17	16.1	12.3	3.88
Dwight Howard	85	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	2	-14	15.2	14.6	0.54	14.9	14.6	0.35
Hedo Turkoglu	59	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.13	-20	10	-30	14.9	15.5	-0.65	14.5	15.4	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	97.2%
MIL 115, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
TOR 112, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%