NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	3.0 [1204]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +6.0%
Chicago Bulls	74		Comeback	1.1 [576]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -11.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	18	53%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	15	63%	0.04	1	-0.01	11	91%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	1	25%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maciej Lampe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	5	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	13	36%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	11	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	0.04	22	39%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.04	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	27.1	17.3	26.7	2.3	25.8	125.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.4%

PHX +5.3%

PHX +0.5%

PHX +7.4%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	15.5	98.9	78.7	104.0
season	13.5	15.1		112.9	100.1
opponent	15.4	16.0		98.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.1	16.2	15.5	14.2	14.5
CHI	17.4	13.3	17.2	16.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	71	71	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.34	30	-10	40	15.2	12.3	2.85	16.9	13.2	3.77
Joe Johnson	71	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	1	18	14.0	15.9	-1.89	16.2	15.5	0.76
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.18	22	-2	24	15.3	12.3	3.08	16.6	14.5	2.16
Steve Nash	64	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.16	21	-1	22	15.5	12.4	3.03	16.8	14.5	2.25
Shawn Marion	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.01	15	5	10	14.7	13.7	0.96	15.7	17.0	-1.28
Steven Hunter	26	24	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	16	-12	13.5	14.8	-1.38	16.0	16.0	-0.08
Jake Voskuhl	14	15	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	19	-18	13.0	14.7	-1.72	15.0	16.2	-1.22
Leandro Barbosa	21	21	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	22	-24	13.1	14.9	-1.76	13.7	16.7	-3.03
Casey Jacobsen	44	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	21	-22	13.3	15.5	-2.22	15.1	16.8	-1.71
Bo Outlaw	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	13.2	14.7	-1.43	15.7	16.1	-0.31
Maciej Lampe	11	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	28	-36	13.3	14.6	-1.35	13.0	16.5	-3.46

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	43	45	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.01	1	-21	22	15.1	16.8	-1.63	14.1	14.8	-0.63
Antonio Davis	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-22	24	16.3	15.9	0.36	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Eric Piatkowski	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-16	12	16.0	16.0	-0.03	12.4	15.0	-2.61
Adrian Griffin	48	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-15	10	15.0	17.1	-2.13	14.9	14.0	0.84
Ben Gordon	24	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-9	-2	17.8	15.4	2.38	15.0	14.3	0.69
Luol Deng	58	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-14	8	14.7	18.1	-3.39	14.6	14.2	0.48
Chris Duhon	55	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	-5	-10	16.6	15.2	1.35	13.7	15.5	-1.83
Tyson Chandler	47	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.06	-14	-6	-8	16.2	15.8	0.38	14.9	14.1	0.79
Andres Nocioni	47	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	-6	-8	16.3	15.7	0.64	14.7	14.2	0.45
Eddy Curry	33	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	-2	-16	18.7	14.6	4.17	14.7	14.3	0.36
Kirk Hinrich	69	69	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	-4	-12	15.6	17.2	-1.61	14.8	13.7	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 115, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
ORL 122, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIL 98, OKC 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.9%