NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	103		Excitement	9.7 [97]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): +53.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	7.3 [115]		LVP	Scoot Henderson (POR): -17.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.39,0.43,0.43	0.15	0.28	0.00	8	83%	0.47	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
Cameron Johnson	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0,0,0.25	0.09	0.17	0.01	9	72%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	0.01	5	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	10	40%	-0.08
Lonnie Walker IV	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	65%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cam Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12	0.03	-0.13	0.01	18	50%	-0.09	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.54	0.54	0.01	0.53	0.00	20	45%	0.54	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.34	0.34	0.09	0.26	0.00	26	58%	0.40	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.03	0.02	9	89%	0.14	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.04	-0.00	12	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Ibou Badji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.1	-0.10	0.04	-0.14	0.00	4	75%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	6	41%	-0.01	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	24.1	14.7	30.4	1.6	35.2	130.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +13.9%

BKN -9.2%

POR +51.5%

BKN -11.9%

POR +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	POR	NBA	BKN	POR	NBA
this game	13.6	18.4	14.5	113.2	118.0	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		111.9	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		116.2	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.4	13.3	12.5	16.3	13.6
POR	19.8	19.5	18.8	15.7	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonnie Walker IV	36	35	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.01	10	-12	22	12.9	14.1	-1.16	19.3	17.9	1.49
Cam Thomas	42	42	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.22	-1	-1	0	12.9	14.2	-1.32	17.8	19.0	-1.19
Royce O'Neale	39	40	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.20	-3	1	-4	13.3	13.9	-0.58	18.0	18.8	-0.84
Spencer Dinwiddie	60	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-14	26	13.3	14.2	-0.93	19.3	16.8	2.47
Trendon Watford	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-1	0	13.3	13.7	-0.42	18.3	18.5	-0.15
Dennis Smith Jr.	29	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	12	-26	13.5	13.7	-0.14	17.0	19.1	-2.06
Cameron Johnson	48	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.50	1	-3	4	14.4	12.7	1.74	18.7	18.1	0.59
Nic Claxton	63	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	13.7	13.5	0.22	18.1	19.1	-1.06
Mikal Bridges	62	62	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.57	-3	1	-4	14.0	12.9	1.11	18.7	17.8	0.95
Dorian Finney-Smith	61	58	-0.93	0.43	-1.37	-0.73	-7	5	-12	14.1	12.6	1.47	18.4	18.6	-0.22

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Simons	70	74	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.67	11	-9	20	18.4	18.5	-0.11	14.1	11.6	2.42
Jerami Grant	64	65	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.53	12	-10	22	18.4	18.4	-0.00	14.6	11.1	3.50
Toumani Camara	40	40	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.71	5	-3	8	18.1	18.7	-0.61	12.6	14.4	-1.72
Malcolm Brogdon	57	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.41	-2	4	-6	18.4	18.5	-0.10	13.5	13.8	-0.33
Jabari Walker	55	57	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.30	-6	8	-14	18.6	18.2	0.42	13.3	14.1	-0.80
Ibou Badji	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	0	2	17.9	18.7	-0.78	12.0	14.3	-2.26
Kris Murray	6	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	3	-4	15.2	18.7	-3.51	14.2	13.6	0.62
Duop Reath	44	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.17	5	-3	8	18.3	18.6	-0.28	15.6	11.6	3.94
Matisse Thybulle	39	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	5	-8	18.3	18.6	-0.28	13.1	14.0	-0.94
Scoot Henderson	44	44	-0.67	1.17	-1.84	-0.29	-13	15	-28	19.7	17.2	2.46	12.1	15.0	-2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.45,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.24,0.58,1	91.0%
NYK 84, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.27,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.29,0.29,1	90.5%
WAS 89, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.21,0.1,0.26,1	90.4%