NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	84		Excitement	8.3 [200]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +27.7%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	3.4 [393]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -33.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28	0.06	0.22	0.00	6	83%	0.30	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.08	0.01	17	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
Chris Childs	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	9	52%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
John Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	13	52%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.34	-0.14	-0.20	-0.00	14	31%	-0.29	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.13	0.00	15	50%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	0.10
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	2	117%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.06	-0.02	13	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	0.02	8	61%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.00	19	48%	0.08	2	-0.13	12	83%	0.03
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	8	23%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	4	25%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	30.2	20.4	28.6	3.4	37.3	149.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +2.7%

IND +37.8%

IND +9.8%

NYK -2.8%

IND +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	17.5	15.2	96.6	101.1	101.7
season	16.1	15.4		100.0	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.8		101.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.6	15.9	16.5	18.1	15.6
IND	16.9	15.4	20.3	17.9	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	14	14	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-8	12	13.1	16.1	-3.00	16.1	17.8	-1.64
Chris Childs	51	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-2	0	16.0	15.1	0.91	17.2	18.0	-0.78
Rick Brunson	2	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-4	4	13.5	15.6	-2.14	4.0	17.7	-13.67
Chris Dudley	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-1	-2	15.9	15.5	0.38	21.3	16.9	4.43
Charlie Ward	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-8	12	14.6	16.2	-1.65	18.1	17.1	0.95
John Wallace	9	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-4	4	16.7	15.5	1.21	14.1	17.9	-3.74
Kurt Thomas	47	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-2	0	16.4	14.6	1.83	18.0	16.9	1.11
Larry Johnson	80	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	15.5	16.0	-0.45	17.6	17.0	0.56
Latrell Sprewell	80	79	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-2	0	15.6	15.3	0.33	17.6	17.1	0.43
Marcus Camby	53	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	6	-16	16.1	14.7	1.40	16.9	18.4	-1.43
Allan Houston	52	54	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.45	-6	2	-8	15.1	16.3	-1.27	17.7	17.2	0.49

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	23	24	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-3	10	16.3	17.9	-1.59	14.2	16.1	-1.96
Jalen Rose	87	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	17.5	0.0	17.52	15.6	0.0	15.59
Reggie Miller	66	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	3	-2	17.7	17.1	0.56	16.0	14.3	1.70
Dale Davis	59	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.36	1	3	-2	17.3	18.0	-0.66	15.5	15.8	-0.33
Travis Best	35	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	-1	6	16.3	18.3	-2.01	15.9	15.4	0.53
Mark Jackson	52	50	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	5	-6	18.3	16.3	2.01	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Sam Perkins	29	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	0	4	17.4	17.6	-0.16	16.6	15.0	1.54
Rik Smits	42	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	3	-2	19.1	16.0	3.10	15.6	15.6	-0.05
Austin Croshere	42	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	6	-8	16.7	18.3	-1.55	15.2	16.0	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.27,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.29,0.29,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	91.5%
LAC 90, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.21,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.42,1	91.4%
DAL 94, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.23,0.26,1	90.9%