NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	7.9 [268]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +9.7%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	7.9 [235]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -29.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	2	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	14	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.11	-0.01	13	61%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	16	47%	-0.01	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,-0.05,-0.29	0.03	-0.31	-0.00	18	57%	-0.09	2	-0.19	4	75%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	16	19%	-0.23	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	17	51%	0.18	3	-0.15	5	80%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	18	61%	0.09	1	-0.07	10	80%	0.02
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	69%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Al Harrington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	5	75%	0.19	4	-0.23	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	13	55%	-0.03	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.6	27.5	19.4	23.2	3.6	42.5	145.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +38.2%

IND +23.6%

NYK -8.2%

NYK -0.6%

NYK -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	15.2	92.9	99.0	101.7
season	16.1	15.4		100.0	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.8		101.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.7	17.0	15.6	16.1	15.6
IND	14.6	13.0	15.0	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	50	49	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.04	9	-13	22	14.6	16.6	-2.02	14.5	13.7	0.83
Kurt Thomas	26	27	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	-1	-2	17.0	15.0	2.02	15.2	13.7	1.53
Larry Johnson	75	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	0	-4	15.6	15.3	0.27	14.1	14.3	-0.21
Marcus Camby	56	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	5	-14	16.3	14.5	1.80	14.1	14.2	-0.15
Patrick Ewing	79	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.47	4	-8	12	14.8	18.6	-3.76	14.4	13.1	1.34
Latrell Sprewell	81	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.53	5	-9	14	15.1	17.8	-2.75	13.8	15.4	-1.56
Allan Houston	75	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.44	-9	5	-14	15.7	15.1	0.55	14.0	14.4	-0.35
Chris Childs	48	48	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.43	-13	9	-22	16.6	14.6	2.02	13.4	14.8	-1.42

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	89	92	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.44	13	-9	22	13.8	17.7	-3.87	15.4	17.2	-1.72
Travis Best	41	41	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.45	11	-7	18	13.5	14.6	-1.03	16.8	14.6	2.20
Rik Smits	65	66	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.64	0	4	-4	13.9	14.6	-0.67	14.6	17.6	-3.03
Austin Croshere	70	72	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	2	0	14.1	14.1	0.07	15.2	16.6	-1.45
Reggie Miller	85	88	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.44	-4	8	-12	14.1	14.1	0.04	15.3	17.8	-2.50
Al Harrington	11	10	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	-4	12	14.1	14.1	-0.04	17.8	15.3	2.50
Dale Davis	30	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.14	-2	6	-8	14.6	13.9	0.74	17.2	14.9	2.35
Sam Perkins	34	35	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.23	-1	5	-6	14.8	13.8	1.04	17.1	14.7	2.43
Mark Jackson	55	57	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.07	-7	11	-18	14.6	13.5	1.03	14.6	16.8	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 84, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.27,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.29,0.29,1	91.5%
MIN 79, DAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.14,0.21,0.32,0.58,1	91.3%
TOR 101, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.32,0.63,1	90.5%