inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 96 Excitement10.7 [52] MVPTyler Herro (MIA): +55.4%
Brooklyn Nets 95 Comeback21.5 [81] LVPBam Adebayo (MIA): -23.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Herro0.550,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.550.060.47-0.022260%0.654-0.10475%-0.01
Jimmy Butler0.510,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.510.210.330.041277%0.531-0.021694%0.17
Nikola Jovic0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.00462%0.0500.0000%0.00
Thomas Bryant0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.03-0.011333%-0.011-0.021100%0.01
Haywood Highsmith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Caleb Martin-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.00-0.080.00850%-0.021-0.062100%0.01
Kyle Lowry-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.01520%-0.051-0.0500%0.00
Duncan Robinson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.0140%-0.082-0.0400%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.240,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.13-0.14-0.041731%-0.142-0.09250%-0.03

Brooklyn Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Royce O'Neale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.330.120.20-0.001075%0.3300.0000%0.00
Mikal Bridges0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.210.210.050.13-0.022352%0.241-0.034100%0.14
Cam Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.10.10-0.000.09-0.012049%0.142-0.047100%0.19
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.01636%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Trendon Watford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.00625%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Lonnie Walker IV0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.07-0.00844%-0.042-0.06250%-0.01
Cameron Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.05-0.021323%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Nic Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13-0.13-0.00-0.130.00947%0.011-0.151100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.21.827.214.727.02.437.42.512.4148.5
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.42.415.1135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +78.3%
BKN -29.9%
MIA +18.6%
BKN -12.0%
BKN -5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABKNNBAMIABKNNBA
this game15.315.914.594.193.1113.9
season14.914.8112.3111.9
opponent14.514.8114.7111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA16.417.512.014.816.415.3
BKN14.312.520.115.221.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Herro71720.72-0.220.950.2616-153114.816.4-1.6416.614.22.41
Jimmy Butler77760.490.010.470.316-51115.115.8-0.7016.613.82.81
Nikola Jovic36350.480.020.47-0.0117-163314.115.9-1.8018.014.83.24
Kyle Lowry47480.450.050.410.0115-142914.316.1-1.8516.115.80.30
Bam Adebayo83830.400.100.290.45-23-515.414.70.7316.015.60.33
Caleb Martin65650.300.200.110.60-1011-2115.514.90.5215.516.6-1.04
Josh Richardson52520.280.220.070.64-1213-2516.114.41.6815.915.90.00
Thomas Bryant10100.030.47-0.43-0.032-1315.315.30.0316.815.81.00
Duncan Robinson4444-0.290.79-1.070.04-1112-2315.415.20.2014.816.7-1.95
Haywood Highsmith2525-0.380.88-1.250.09-1617-3317.914.43.5010.817.6-6.81

Brooklyn Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trendon Watford870.03-0.530.57-0.032-3518.415.72.6811.315.6-4.28
Dorian Finney-Smith5856-0.11-0.390.290.07-65-1115.716.2-0.4514.516.2-1.72
Dennis Smith Jr.6162-0.11-0.390.28-0.4311-122315.416.6-1.2215.914.31.64
Lonnie Walker IV1919-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-1113.316.5-3.1816.515.01.54
Cameron Johnson4342-0.15-0.350.210.23-1312-2517.015.11.9815.115.4-0.30
Royce O'Neale5757-0.20-0.300.09-0.5010-112115.616.3-0.6915.614.90.73
Cam Thomas6162-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.5810-112115.316.8-1.5515.514.90.66
Spencer Dinwiddie3939-0.34-0.16-0.170.07-1413-2717.215.12.1114.615.7-1.07
Mikal Bridges8383-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.35-10-116.513.33.1815.016.5-1.54
Nic Claxton8183-0.840.34-1.18-0.72-43-715.617.0-1.3815.613.71.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.88,0.9,0.92,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 120, GSW 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.75,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.24,0.39,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.73,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.42,086.6%
HOU 111, BOS 1100.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.8,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.1,0.01,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.73,085.6%
LAL 123, GSW 1190.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.44,0.64,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.58,085.2%