NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	123		Excitement	10.9 [34]		MVP	Kelenna Azubuike (GSW): +38.1%
Golden State Warriors	119		Comeback	7.2 [194]		LVP	Al Harrington (GSW): -9.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.37	0.10	0.27	-0.00	15	66%	0.46	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.05
Derek Fisher	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.13	0.01	18	50%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.01,-0.08,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	13	73%	0.36	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	80%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	27%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	30	45%	0.09	3	-0.17	7	100%	0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.38	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.01	12	67%	0.38	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	21	58%	0.18	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.09,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	28	50%	0.14	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.13
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.14,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.07	-0.02	20	42%	0.18	5	-0.20	3	100%	0.06
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.05	-0.14	0.01	15	56%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	29.8	15.5	28.5	2.6	34.4	1.8	19.0	158.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +69.0%

GSW -18.0%

LAL +1.3%

GSW -12.7%

LAL +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	12.2	15.4	109.8	106.2	105.7
season	14.6	13.5		110.6	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.0	16.1	17.5	16.8	16.0	16.2
GSW	11.1	12.7	13.2	12.7	9.8	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	51	51	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-9	22	16.2	16.2	-0.01	12.3	12.1	0.19
Ronny Turiaf	68	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.52	2	2	0	17.2	14.7	2.57	11.8	12.7	-0.84
Lamar Odom	112	112	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	16.2	0.0	16.24	12.2	0.0	12.15
Kobe Bryant	110	110	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	2	0	16.1	22.5	-6.37	12.2	10.0	2.19
Jordan Farmar	34	34	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	-1	6	15.7	16.5	-0.81	13.3	11.7	1.64
Derek Fisher	78	78	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	5	-6	16.5	15.7	0.81	11.7	13.3	-1.64
Vladimir Radmanovic	56	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	3	-2	15.7	16.8	-1.16	12.4	11.9	0.58
Luke Walton	51	50	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	10	-16	15.8	16.6	-0.84	12.1	12.2	-0.13

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	101	100	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-4	4	12.4	9.8	2.59	16.3	16.0	0.27
Matt Barnes	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-2	0	12.9	12.1	0.78	10.0	16.7	-6.72
Brandan Wright	15	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-4	4	14.4	11.8	2.60	16.5	16.2	0.30
Andris Biedrins	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-4	4	11.9	12.4	-0.44	16.7	15.8	0.88
Al Harrington	82	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-5	6	12.5	11.3	1.16	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Monta Ellis	108	107	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-1	-2	12.0	15.2	-3.21	16.0	21.4	-5.40
Kelenna Azubuike	68	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	4	-12	11.6	13.1	-1.51	17.2	14.8	2.42
Baron Davis	112	112	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	12.2	0.0	12.15	16.2	0.0	16.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.44,0.64,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.43,0	89.0%
LAL 102, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0	88.1%
LAC 113, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	88.0%