NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	113		Excitement	5.8 [627]		MVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): +20.8%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	6.0 [33]		LVP	Brian Shaw (ORL): -14.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.06	14	89%	0.27	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.13	-0.00	7	71%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Manning	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	71%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Malik Sealy	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	6	44%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.03	-0.04	19	55%	0.14	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	66%	0.11	2	-0.06	19	89%	0.07
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.06
Derek Strong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	27.6	15.8	23.4	2.5	29.2	126.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +61.5%

ORL -13.9%

LAC +10.9%

ORL -10.0%

LAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	15.6	125.6	105.6	104.4
season	15.8	16.4		102.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.7	17.8	14.3	15.8	15.6
ORL	13.6	16.5	17.7	19.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	63	63	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.02	24	-5	29	14.8	17.3	-2.54	17.3	15.0	2.30
Rodney Rogers	40	40	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	7	5	14.9	16.0	-1.09	17.7	15.7	1.99
Richard Manning	23	22	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	2	15	16.7	15.1	1.59	18.5	16.0	2.49
Brent Barry	39	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	14	-9	15.8	15.4	0.47	16.5	16.7	-0.29
Darrick Martin	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	3	13	14.5	17.6	-3.14	15.8	18.2	-2.45
Terry Dehere	31	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	16	-13	17.6	14.5	3.14	18.2	15.8	2.45
Malik Sealy	51	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	5	9	15.4	15.8	-0.47	16.7	16.5	0.29
Lorenzen Wright	51	51	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	15	-11	15.6	15.5	0.03	16.3	17.1	-0.74
Loy Vaught	66	65	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	14	-9	15.5	15.7	-0.21	15.6	19.5	-3.93
Eric Piatkowski	27	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	24	-29	17.3	14.8	2.54	15.0	17.3	-2.30

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	51	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-18	17	16.1	17.4	-1.29	16.0	15.0	1.01
Gerald Wilkins	38	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-11	3	15.1	17.7	-2.61	15.8	15.4	0.39
Rony Seikaly	59	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-17	15	16.4	17.0	-0.61	16.7	13.3	3.43
Dan Schayes	23	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-7	-5	17.8	16.2	1.61	13.8	16.1	-2.36
Anfernee Hardaway	83	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.14	-18	-1	-17	16.5	17.8	-1.29	15.2	20.0	-4.76
Darrell Armstrong	22	23	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-3	-13	18.6	16.0	2.67	14.9	15.8	-0.86
Nick Anderson	80	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	0	-19	17.0	13.0	4.04	15.3	17.3	-1.96
Derek Strong	89	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	0	-19	16.6	0.0	16.63	15.6	0.0	15.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 82, PHI 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.47,0.42,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.02,0.04,0.02,0	93.1%
MIN 111, DAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.73,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.24,0.27,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
DEN 111, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.62,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.17,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0	93.0%