NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	12.0 [21]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +22.7%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	5.7 [190]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -12.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.02	0.21	-0.00	6	50%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.08
Russell Westbrook	0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.10	-0.01	27	62%	0.35	6	-0.15	12	67%	0.08
Danuel House Jr.	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.01	0.14	-0.01	10	45%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.00	12	67%	0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.22,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.06	-0.11	0.02	-0.04	24	41%	0.05	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.10
Austin Rivers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	6	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.01	16	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.25,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	23	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Romeo Langford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.13	-0.12	27	47%	-0.03	5	-0.05	14	71%	-0.05
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	8	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.16	-0.01	22	55%	0.10	3	-0.22	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.5	3.5	29.3	14.5	26.4	2.8	37.7	1.6	11.4	152.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.3%

HOU +43.0%

BOS -27.7%

BOS -1.0%

BOS -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	14.2	102.8	101.9	109.6
season	13.4	14.5		111.2	112.0
opponent	14.4	14.4		105.8	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	14.2	13.7	15.0	16.2	12.8	14.6
BOS	13.5	14.5	15.6	13.8	19.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Tucker	77	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-8	17	15.0	13.5	1.52	14.9	14.7	0.26
James Harden	80	83	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-8	17	15.0	13.5	1.49	14.9	14.8	0.11
Danuel House Jr.	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-6	13	15.2	13.5	1.70	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Robert Covington	79	80	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	0	1	14.6	14.5	0.12	15.0	14.3	0.70
Russell Westbrook	90	90	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	4	-7	14.1	17.2	-3.14	14.9	14.4	0.54
Ben McLemore	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	3	-5	14.3	14.7	-0.40	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Austin Rivers	46	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	5	-9	15.0	14.3	0.62	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Eric Gordon	35	34	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	3	-5	14.3	14.7	-0.38	14.1	15.2	-1.02
Jeff Green	32	29	-0.64	1.14	-1.78	-0.32	-11	12	-23	13.1	15.2	-2.10	14.7	14.9	-0.26

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	29	31	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.10	10	-11	21	14.2	15.1	-0.82	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Semi Ojeleye	29	28	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-5	9	15.0	14.8	0.17	14.2	14.7	-0.57
Brad Wanamaker	27	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-2	3	14.8	14.9	-0.09	12.8	15.3	-2.52
Romeo Langford	21	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-1	1	14.3	15.0	-0.69	14.7	14.6	0.12
Marcus Smart	92	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-3	5	14.8	15.1	-0.33	14.8	13.4	1.39
Jaylen Brown	90	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	0	-1	14.6	16.3	-1.72	15.1	11.9	3.19
Jayson Tatum	90	91	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	4	-9	15.3	12.5	2.81	14.2	16.6	-2.36
Gordon Hayward	83	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	4	-9	14.8	14.9	-0.10	15.0	13.6	1.40
Daniel Theis	79	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.37	-11	10	-21	15.1	14.2	0.82	15.1	13.4	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.8,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.1,0.01,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.33,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.01,0	86.5%
POR 95, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.45,0.37,0.05,0,0	86.2%
BOS 80, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.17,1	86.0%