NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	125		Excitement	7.1 [426]		MVP	Keyonte George (UTA): +26.4%
Utah Jazz	132		Comeback	3.6 [430]		LVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): -20.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rui Hachimura	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.10	-0.00	12	57%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Austin Reaves	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	8	86%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.21	0.01	0.10	26	71%	0.19	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.02	0.06	10	65%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	21	31%	-0.08	6	-0.13	6	83%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.14	-0.01	11	68%	0.27	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.05
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.10	0.02	9	95%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.04	0.03	13	75%	0.22	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.04
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.02	0.06	16	67%	0.14	0	0.00	11	91%	0.02
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	4	40%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	18	48%	0.05	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Kris Dunn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	30.4	14.7	30.2	2.3	33.5	138.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +1.2%

UTA +18.7%

UTA +23.0%

UTA +6.6%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.4	13.4	14.5	115.7	123.4	113.9
season	14.1	14.7		114.4	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.3		119.0	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.0	13.4	14.3	12.8	13.4
UTA	13.7	12.4	12.8	14.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Christie	31	29	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.03	9	-16	25	13.9	13.1	0.81	13.8	13.3	0.50
Rui Hachimura	42	41	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.25	12	-19	31	12.8	13.7	-0.98	14.2	13.0	1.24
Cam Reddish	27	26	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-10	13	12.5	13.6	-1.12	13.8	13.3	0.50
Jarred Vanderbilt	50	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-11	15	13.4	13.4	-0.00	13.4	13.5	-0.13
Skylar Mays	23	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-2	-3	13.4	13.4	0.04	13.5	13.4	0.06
D'Angelo Russell	94	93	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-5	3	13.1	15.4	-2.29	13.4	13.6	-0.25
Christian Wood	49	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	12.7	13.9	-1.30	13.5	13.4	0.15
Taurean Prince	68	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.07	-19	12	-31	13.9	12.5	1.33	13.1	13.9	-0.75
Anthony Davis	87	88	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	5	-17	13.5	12.6	0.92	13.5	12.9	0.59
Austin Reaves	69	69	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.05	-21	14	-35	14.0	12.3	1.73	12.8	14.5	-1.66

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	77	77	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-11	29	13.2	14.1	-0.93	13.6	12.7	0.91
Lauri Markkanen	75	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-9	25	13.2	13.9	-0.63	13.6	12.8	0.87
Collin Sexton	65	64	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.03	18	-11	29	13.1	14.0	-0.86	13.3	13.5	-0.16
Simone Fontecchio	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-9	25	12.8	14.1	-1.26	14.5	12.3	2.18
Kris Dunn	38	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	1	5	12.9	13.7	-0.75	14.1	13.0	1.08
Jordan Clarkson	69	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	9	-11	13.7	12.9	0.75	13.0	14.1	-1.08
Keyonte George	56	57	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.34	-6	13	-19	14.6	12.2	2.43	13.1	13.7	-0.58
Ochai Agbaji	41	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.19	-9	16	-25	13.0	13.7	-0.70	12.4	14.0	-1.53
Kelly Olynyk	34	35	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.17	-10	17	-27	13.3	13.5	-0.16	12.5	13.8	-1.25
Walker Kessler	27	30	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.11	-12	19	-31	15.1	12.8	2.30	13.0	13.5	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%
LAC 90, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
MIN 94, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.96,1	93.6%